Tabuk Cement Company
3090.SR · Basic Materials · · SARFahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)
32
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
20
Momentum
37
Fundamental (0%)
72
Macro
59
Liquidity
29
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 19.8 | 20% |
| Momentum | 37.3 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 72.2 | 0% |
| Macro | 59.4 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 28.7 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 7.34 |
| Stop Loss | 7.18 (2.2%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 7.50 (+2.2%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 7.66 (+4.4%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.08 (1.1%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.16 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 59.9 | +0.40 | |
| Momentum | 37.3 | -0.51 | |
| Quality | 30.3 | -0.79 | |
| Composite | 42.5 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
4
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
195.38
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 45.9 | 18.0 | +155% above |
| P/B Ratio | 0.6 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 6.8% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
1.35
vs
Market Price
7.34
Upside
-81.6%
| Margin of Safety | -442.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 43,889,495 |
| Terminal Value PV | 77,868,801 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 121,758,296 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 11,520,000 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 12.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
17.66%
Full Kelly
8.83%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 32/100. Estimated win rate 50%, avg win 6.9%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
46.0
RSI(14)
-0.039
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
12
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | ↓ FALLING (-2.6% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Basic Materials) |
| RS New High | No (59d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -8.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 46.0 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.039 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 7.49 / 8.23 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.83x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 10.90 |
| Bollinger Upper | 7.45 |
| SMA(200) | 8.23 |
| SMA(50) | 7.49 |
| SMA(20) | 7.32 |
| Current Price | 7.34 |
| Bollinger Lower | 7.19 |
| 52-Week Low | 7.16 |
| ATR(14) | 0.08 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 0.44x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 0.54x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 0.6x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-06 | Normal | 0.6x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-07 | Normal | 0.83x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 7.40 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 7.33 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 7.37 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 7.53 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 7.37 – 7.53 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 7.34 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 7.44 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 1/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 7.19 – 7.45 | KC: 7.19 – 7.44
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 8 | |
| Hidden Bearish | MACD | 8 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 16 | |
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 24 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 7.34
Anchor: 2026-08-19 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-0.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/3090.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 660.60M |
| P/E (TTM) | 45.88 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 0.59 |
| EPS | 0.16 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -27.0% |
| Profit Margin | 5.6% |
| ROE | 1.3% |
| Debt/Equity | 0.18 |
| Current Ratio | 1.80 |
| Dividend Yield | 6.8% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | -0.09 |
Trading Data
7.34
Open
7.34
Day High
7.34
Day Low
82.8K
Volume (0.8x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)