Saudi Awwal Bank

1060.SR · Financial Services · · SAR

34.24 SAR

0.00 (-0.29%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:30 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 88

Momentum 55

Fundamental 36

Macro 59

Liquidity 40

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	10%
Trend & RS	87.9	10%
Momentum	55.0	5%
Fundamental	36.0	40%
Macro	59.4	15%
Liquidity	40.3	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	34.24
Stop Loss	33.46 (2.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	35.02 (+2.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	35.80 (+4.6%)

ATR(14)	0.39 (1.1%)
Risk per Share	0.78
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	92.8	+1.71
Momentum	55.0	+0.20
Quality	71.1	+0.84
Composite	73.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 1.38 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	9.0	18.0	-50% below
P/B Ratio	1.0	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	5.8%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

52.30

Market Price

34.24

Upside

+52.7%

Margin of Safety	+34.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	27,638,906,846
Terminal Value PV	79,818,260,989
Total Enterprise Value	107,457,167,835

Assumptions

Base FCF	6,279,452,059
Growth Rate (5yr)	4.4%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

32.79%

Full Kelly

16.4%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 50/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 8.0%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

64.74

RSI(14)

0.3985

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↑ RISING (+8.7% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Financial Services)
RS New High	No (7d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+2.6% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	64.74	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.3985	BEARISH
Ma Cross	32.69 / 32.5	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.35x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	37.92
Bollinger Upper	34.81
SMA(200)	32.5
SMA(50)	32.69
SMA(20)	33.84
Current Price	34.24
Bollinger Lower	32.86
52-Week Low	29.90
ATR(14)	0.39

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	1.36x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.67x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.82x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	0.82x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	Normal	0.35x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	34.21	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	33.61	Base line
Senkou A	33.91	Leading span A
Senkou B	32.69	Leading span B
Cloud	32.69 – 33.91	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	34.24	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	33.06	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH