Saudi Tadawul Group Holding Company

1111.SR · Financial Services · · SAR

112.00 SAR

+0.00 (3.90%)

● Updated 2026-11-06 18:19 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 22

Momentum 33

Fundamental 78

Macro 57

Liquidity 43

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	10%
Trend & RS	22.3	10%
Momentum	32.8	5%
Fundamental	77.8	40%
Macro	57.1	15%
Liquidity	43.2	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	112.00
Stop Loss	104.22 (7.0%)
Target 1 (1:1)	119.78 (+7.0%)
Target 2 (2:1)	127.56 (+13.9%)

ATR(14)	3.89 (3.5%)
Risk per Share	7.78
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	26.9	-0.92
Momentum	32.8	-0.69
Quality	43.5	-0.26
Composite	34.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 9.45 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	41.2	18.0	+129% above
P/B Ratio	4.2	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	2.0%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

33.58

Market Price

112.00

Upside

-70.0%

Margin of Safety	-233.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,074,589,738
Terminal Value PV	2,954,738,251
Total Enterprise Value	4,029,327,989

Assumptions

Base FCF	261,120,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.6%

Recommended Size

35.85%

Full Kelly

17.93%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 55/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.3%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

48.88

RSI(14)

-3.0866

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↓ FALLING (+1.8% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Financial Services)
RS New High	No (48d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+4.8% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	48.88	NEUTRAL
Macd	-3.0866	BULLISH
Ma Cross	119.09 / 131.81	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.92x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	194.10
Bollinger Upper	120.76
SMA(200)	131.81
SMA(50)	119.09
SMA(20)	111.11
Current Price	112.00
Bollinger Lower	101.46
52-Week Low	101.10
ATR(14)	3.89

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

75%

Buying Climax

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 3.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-11-01	Normal	0.98x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-02	Normal	0.91x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-03	Normal	0.68x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-04	Normal	1.12x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-05	Normal	0.92x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	108.40	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	112.90	Base line
Senkou A	110.65	Leading span A
Senkou B	119.15	Leading span B
Cloud	110.65 – 119.15	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	112.00	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	117.20	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH

BB: 101.46 – 120.76 | KC: 105.21 – 117.01

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 107.64 Anchor: 2026-10-25 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +4.0%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/1111.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	13.44B
P/E (TTM)	41.18
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	4.19
EPS	2.72

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	-8.1%
Profit Margin	24.2%
ROE	8.9%
Debt/Equity	29.35
Current Ratio	1.35
Dividend Yield	2.0%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.15

Trading Data

112.00

Open

112.00

Day High

112.00

Day Low

307.0K

Volume (0.8x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)