SHL Finance Company

1183.SR · Financial Services · · SAR

15.72 SAR

0.00 (-1.38%)

● Updated 2026-05-12 12:47 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 38

Momentum 40

Fundamental (0%) 29

Macro 73

Liquidity 22

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	40%
Trend & RS	38.5	20%
Momentum	40.0	20%
Fundamental	28.7	0%
Macro	72.8	15%
Liquidity	22.0	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	15.72
Stop Loss	14.74 (6.2%)
Target 1 (1:1)	16.70 (+6.2%)
Target 2 (2:1)	17.68 (+12.5%)

ATR(14)	0.49 (3.1%)
Risk per Share	0.98
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	69.2	+0.77
Momentum	40.0	-0.40
Quality	73.0	+0.92
Composite	60.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 0.65 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	30.8	18.0	+71% above
P/B Ratio	0.9	2.5	Below

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

10.49

Market Price

15.72

Upside

-33.2%

Margin of Safety	-49.8%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	287,031,664
Terminal Value PV	762,290,269
Total Enterprise Value	1,049,321,933

Assumptions

Base FCF	40,800,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

22.84%

Full Kelly

11.42%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 38/100. Estimated win rate 51%, avg win 7.3%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

54.33

RSI(14)

0.2287

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	→ FLAT (+0.2% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Financial Services)
RS New High	No (50d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+1.9% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	54.33	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.2287	BEARISH
Ma Cross	14.96 / 18.3	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.07x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	24.90
Bollinger Upper	16.27
SMA(200)	18.3
SMA(50)	14.96
SMA(20)	15.6
Current Price	15.72
Bollinger Lower	14.93
52-Week Low	13.30
ATR(14)	0.49

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION B Confidence

67%

Volume Dry-Up (Accumulation)

Acc: 2.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-06	Normal	0.27x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07	Normal	0.12x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-10	Normal	0.21x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	No Supply	0.23x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure
2026-05-12	No Demand	0.07x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	15.83	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	15.48	Base line
Senkou A	15.66	Leading span A
Senkou B	15.15	Leading span B
Cloud	15.15 – 15.66	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	15.72	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	14.13	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE ON 2 bars Momentum: BEARISH

BB: 14.93 – 16.27 | KC: 14.77 – 16.43

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Regular Bearish	RSI	10

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 15.29 Anchor: 2026-03-03 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +2.8%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/1183.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	1.57B
P/E (TTM)	30.82
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	0.90
EPS	0.51

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	1.3%
Profit Margin	26.5%
ROE	N/A
Debt/Equity	167.50
Current Ratio	N/A
Dividend Yield	N/A
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.23

Trading Data

15.72

Open

15.72

Day High

15.72

Day Low

15.6K

Volume (0.1x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)