Astra Industrial Group Company

1212.SR · Industrials · · SAR

129.80 SAR

0.00 (-0.15%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 18:05 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 34

Momentum 38

Fundamental 89

Macro 57

Liquidity 32

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	10%
Trend & RS	33.7	10%
Momentum	38.3	5%
Fundamental	88.9	40%
Macro	57.1	15%
Liquidity	31.6	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	129.80
Stop Loss	124.90 (3.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	134.70 (+3.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	139.60 (+7.5%)

ATR(14)	2.45 (1.9%)
Risk per Share	4.90
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	68.7	+0.75
Momentum	38.3	-0.47
Quality	53.8	+0.15
Composite	53.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 13.96 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	15.5	18.0	-14% below
P/B Ratio	3.3	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	2.7%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

103.08

Market Price

129.80

Upside

-20.6%

Margin of Safety	-25.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	2,199,221,645
Terminal Value PV	6,047,074,611
Total Enterprise Value	8,246,296,256

Assumptions

Base FCF	534,400,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

36.54%

Full Kelly

18.27%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 56/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.3%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

38.42

RSI(14)

-1.0662

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	→ FLAT (-4.3% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High	No (57d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-2.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	38.42	NEUTRAL
Macd	-1.0662	BEARISH
Ma Cross	133.54 / 137.11	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.5x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	158.50
Bollinger Upper	137.2
SMA(200)	137.11
SMA(50)	133.54
SMA(20)	132.89
Current Price	129.80
Bollinger Lower	128.57
52-Week Low	120.30
ATR(14)	2.45

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-05	Normal	0.68x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-06	Normal	0.8x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	1.42x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.65x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.5x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	131.75	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	133.70	Base line
Senkou A	132.72	Leading span A
Senkou B	135.10	Leading span B
Cloud	132.72 – 135.10	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	129.80	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	135.10	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH

BB: 128.57 – 137.2 | KC: 129.08 – 136.69

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 137.11 Anchor: 2026-03-01 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -5.3%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/1212.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	10.38B
P/E (TTM)	15.54
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	3.31
EPS	8.35

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	-5.1%
Profit Margin	22.1%
ROE	22.9%
Debt/Equity	16.71
Current Ratio	1.60
Dividend Yield	2.7%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.00

Trading Data

129.80

Open

129.80

Day High

129.80

Day Low

36.7K

Volume (0.4x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)