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1301.SR · Industrials · · SAR

18.19 SAR

0.00 (-0.93%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:01 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 58

Momentum 64

Fundamental (0%) 83

Macro 59

Liquidity 18

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	40%
Trend & RS	58.5	20%
Momentum	63.9	20%
Fundamental	83.3	0%
Macro	59.4	15%
Liquidity	17.7	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	18.19
Stop Loss	17.43 (4.2%)
Target 1 (1:1)	18.95 (+4.2%)
Target 2 (2:1)	19.71 (+8.4%)

ATR(14)	0.38 (2.1%)
Risk per Share	0.76
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	65.1	+0.61
Momentum	63.9	+0.56
Quality	41.3	-0.35
Composite	56.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 82.28 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	27.1	18.0	+51% above
P/B Ratio	1.4	3.0	Below
Dividend Yield	2.7%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

5.71

Market Price

18.19

Upside

-68.6%

Margin of Safety	-218.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	57,658,758
Terminal Value PV	102,736,912
Total Enterprise Value	160,395,670

Assumptions

Base FCF	15,050,880
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.2%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

35.57%

Full Kelly

17.79%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 54/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.3%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

52.1

RSI(14)

0.3218

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↑ RISING (+14.3% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High	No (9d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+12.3% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	52.1	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.3218	BEARISH
Ma Cross	17.38 / 17.95	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.28x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	26.10
Bollinger Upper	19.33
SMA(200)	17.95
SMA(50)	17.38
SMA(20)	18.36
Current Price	18.19
Bollinger Lower	17.39
52-Week Low	15.10
ATR(14)	0.38

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	0.46x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.3x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.55x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	0.55x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	Normal	0.28x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	18.83	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	17.76	Base line
Senkou A	18.29	Leading span A
Senkou B	17.36	Leading span B
Cloud	17.36 – 18.29	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	18.19	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	16.29	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH

BB: 17.39 – 19.33 | KC: 17.83 – 18.89

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Regular Bearish	RSI	10
Regular Bearish	MACD	10

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 17.59 Anchor: 2026-03-01 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +3.4%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/1301.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	510.78M
P/E (TTM)	27.15
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	1.38
EPS	0.67

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	2.2%
Profit Margin	2.4%
ROE	5.1%
Debt/Equity	1.03
Current Ratio	2.91
Dividend Yield	2.7%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	-0.01

Trading Data

18.19

Open

18.19

Day High

18.19

Day Low

34.9K

Volume (0.3x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)