Bawan Company

1302.SR · Industrials · · SAR

43.32 SAR

0.00 (-0.18%)

● Updated 2026-05-12 10:46 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 21

Momentum 33

Fundamental 56

Macro 73

Liquidity 24

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	20%
Trend & RS	21.1	30%
Momentum	32.6	15%
Fundamental	55.6	10%
Macro	72.7	20%
Liquidity	24.1	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	43.44
Stop Loss	41.00 (5.6%)
Target 1 (1:1)	45.88 (+5.6%)
Target 2 (2:1)	48.32 (+11.2%)

ATR(14)	1.22 (2.8%)
Risk per Share	2.44
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	82.4	+1.30
Momentum	32.6	-0.70
Quality	38.4	-0.46
Composite	51.1

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	11.9	18.0	-34% below
P/B Ratio	2.4	3.0	Below

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

97.13

Market Price

43.32

Upside

+124.2%

Margin of Safety	+55.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,302,976,583
Terminal Value PV	4,524,721,594
Total Enterprise Value	5,827,698,177

Assumptions

Base FCF	174,720,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

22.67%

Full Kelly

11.34%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 38/100. Estimated win rate 51%, avg win 7.3%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

46.68

RSI(14)

-0.3279

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↓ FALLING (-6.0% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High	No (32d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-3.2% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	46.68	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.3279	BULLISH
Ma Cross	44.16 / 50.72	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.1x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	61.85
Bollinger Upper	45.81
SMA(200)	50.72
SMA(50)	44.16
SMA(20)	43.85
Current Price	43.32
Bollinger Lower	41.9
52-Week Low	41.00
ATR(14)	1.22

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION A Confidence

100%

Selling Climax

Acc: 2.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-06	Normal	0.76x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07	Normal	4.84x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-10	Stopping Volume	2.27x	High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume)
2026-05-11	Normal	1.36x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12	No Demand	0.1x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	43.87	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	44.03	Base line
Senkou A	43.95	Leading span A
Senkou B	45.95	Leading span B
Cloud	43.95 – 45.95	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	43.44	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	42.88	Bullish
Alignment Score	1/4	BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING

BB: 41.9 – 45.81 | KC: 42.31 – 45.4

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Hidden Bearish	MACD	8

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 44.60 Anchor: 2026-03-01 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -2.6%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/1302.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	2.60B
P/E (TTM)	11.90
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	2.38
EPS	3.64

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	34.5%
Profit Margin	5.4%
ROE	19.7%
Debt/Equity	122.10
Current Ratio	1.37
Dividend Yield	N/A
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.19

Trading Data

43.32

Open

43.32

Day High

43.32

Day Low

2.6K

Volume (0.0x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)