Saudi Steel Pipes Company

1320.SR · Basic Materials · · SAR

55.30 SAR

+0.00 (0.55%)

● Updated 2026-05-14 11:46 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 93

Momentum 81

Fundamental 78

Macro 62

Liquidity 31

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	93.1	30%
Momentum	80.9	15%
Fundamental	77.8	10%
Macro	62.5	20%
Liquidity	31.2	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	55.15
Stop Loss	51.17 (7.2%)
Target 1 (1:1)	59.13 (+7.2%)
Target 2 (2:1)	63.11 (+14.4%)

ATR(14)	1.99 (3.6%)
Risk per Share	3.98
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	74.6	+0.98
Momentum	80.9	+1.24
Quality	49.7	-0.01
Composite	68.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	14.7	18.0	-18% below
P/B Ratio	3.3	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	1.8%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

100.33

Market Price

55.30

Upside

+81.4%

Margin of Safety	+44.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,133,775,116
Terminal Value PV	3,937,151,922
Total Enterprise Value	5,070,927,038

Assumptions

Base FCF	152,031,273
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

49.77%

Full Kelly

24.89%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 77/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.6%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

56.2

RSI(14)

1.9506

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs TASI	↑ RISING (+39.6% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (7d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+32.4% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	56.2	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.9506	BEARISH
Ma Cross	48.21 / 46.24	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.53x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	61.90
Bollinger Upper	60.29
SMA(200)	46.24
SMA(50)	48.21
SMA(20)	55.56
Current Price	55.30
Bollinger Lower	50.83
52-Week Low	35.80
ATR(14)	1.99

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

50%

Buying Climax

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-10	Normal	0.63x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	No Demand	0.47x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest
2026-05-12	Normal	1.33x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-13	Normal	0.58x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-14	Normal	0.53x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	56.98	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	54.20	Base line
Senkou A	55.59	Leading span A
Senkou B	47.90	Leading span B
Cloud	47.90 – 55.59	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	55.15	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	48.90	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING

BB: 50.83 – 60.29 | KC: 52.52 – 58.6

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago
Regular Bearish	RSI	8
Regular Bearish	MACD	8
Hidden Bullish	RSI	15
Regular Bearish	RSI	22

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 50.96 Anchor: 2026-03-03 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +8.2%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/1320.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	2.79B
P/E (TTM)	14.71
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	3.28
EPS	3.76

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	45.5%
Profit Margin	13.6%
ROE	23.2%
Debt/Equity	24.05
Current Ratio	1.74
Dividend Yield	1.8%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.51

Trading Data

55.30

Open

55.30

Day High

55.30

Day Low

253.0K

Volume (0.6x avg)

Recent News (1)

Middle East Hidden Gems Including Saudi Steel Pipes And 2 Promising Small Caps

Simply Wall St. · 2026-04-29

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)