Saudi Steel Pipes Company

1320.SR · Basic Materials · · SAR

54.10 SAR

0.00 (-1.64%)

● Updated 2026-05-14 13:46 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 93

Momentum 78

Fundamental (0%) 89

Macro 59

Liquidity 42

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	40%
Trend & RS	92.7	20%
Momentum	78.5	20%
Fundamental	88.9	0%
Macro	58.6	15%
Liquidity	42.0	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	54.05
Stop Loss	49.95 (7.6%)
Target 1 (1:1)	58.15 (+7.6%)
Target 2 (2:1)	62.25 (+15.2%)

ATR(14)	2.05 (3.8%)
Risk per Share	4.10
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	74.7	+0.99
Momentum	78.5	+1.14
Quality	49.7	-0.01
Composite	67.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 7.77 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	14.4	18.0	-20% below
P/B Ratio	3.2	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	1.8%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

100.33

Market Price

54.10

Upside

+85.5%

Margin of Safety	+46.1%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,133,775,106
Terminal Value PV	3,937,151,888
Total Enterprise Value	5,070,926,994

Assumptions

Base FCF	152,031,271
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

48.74%

Full Kelly

24.37%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 75/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.5%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

51.8

RSI(14)

1.8629

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs TASI	↑ RISING (+37.0% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (7d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+29.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	51.8	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.8629	BEARISH
Ma Cross	48.19 / 46.23	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.93x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	61.90
Bollinger Upper	60.28
SMA(200)	46.23
SMA(50)	48.19
SMA(20)	55.5
Current Price	54.10
Bollinger Lower	50.73
52-Week Low	35.80
ATR(14)	2.05

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

50%

Buying Climax

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-10	Normal	0.61x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	No Demand	0.46x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest
2026-05-12	Normal	1.3x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-13	Normal	0.57x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-14	Normal	0.93x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	56.98	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	54.20	Base line
Senkou A	55.59	Leading span A
Senkou B	47.90	Leading span B
Cloud	47.90 – 55.59	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	54.05	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	48.90	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH

BB: 50.73 – 60.28 | KC: 52.4 – 58.61

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago
Regular Bearish	RSI	8
Regular Bearish	MACD	8
Hidden Bullish	RSI	15
Regular Bearish	RSI	22

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 50.98 Anchor: 2026-03-03 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +6.0%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/1320.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	2.73B
P/E (TTM)	14.39
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	3.21
EPS	3.76

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	45.5%
Profit Margin	13.6%
ROE	23.2%
Debt/Equity	24.05
Current Ratio	1.74
Dividend Yield	1.8%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.51

Trading Data

54.10

Open

54.10

Day High

54.10

Day Low

458.6K

Volume (1.1x avg)

Recent News (1)

Middle East Hidden Gems Including Saudi Steel Pipes And 2 Promising Small Caps

Simply Wall St. · 2026-04-29

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)