Saudi Arabian Refineries Company

2030.SR · Industrials · · SAR

57.80 SAR

0.00 (-0.34%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:59 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 67

Trend & RS 90

Momentum 96

Fundamental 61

Macro 59

Liquidity 69

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	66.7	20%
Trend & RS	89.9	30%
Momentum	96.1	15%
Fundamental	61.1	10%
Macro	59.4	20%
Liquidity	69.4	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	57.80
Stop Loss	53.94 (6.7%)
Target 1 (1:1)	61.66 (+6.7%)
Target 2 (2:1)	65.52 (+13.4%)

ATR(14)	1.93 (3.3%)
Risk per Share	3.86
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	72.5	+0.90
Momentum	87.3	+1.49
Quality	40.0	-0.40
Composite	66.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 2 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 2968.42 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	3.1	3.0	Inline

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

49.37%

Full Kelly

24.69%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 76/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.6%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

78.82

RSI(14)

1.4314

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↑ RISING (+33.8% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High	✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal
Sector Outperformance	+31.9% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	78.82	OVERBOUGHT
Macd	1.4314	BULLISH
Ma Cross	50.52 / 49.19	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		UPPER BAND
Volume	2.84x	HIGH

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	63.95
Bollinger Upper	55.64
SMA(200)	49.19
SMA(50)	50.52
SMA(20)	51.06
Current Price	57.80
Bollinger Lower	46.48
52-Week Low	43.68
ATR(14)	1.93

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Sign of Strength

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 3.5 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	No Demand	0.34x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest
2026-09-02	Normal	0.62x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	3.74x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	3.74x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	Upthrust	2.84x	High volume up-bar closing near low — failed breakout (Upthrust)

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	55.33	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	53.80	Base line
Senkou A	54.56	Leading span A
Senkou B	53.30	Leading span B
Cloud	53.30 – 54.56	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	57.80	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	47.90	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH

BB: 46.48 – 55.64 | KC: 48.31 – 53.81

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 51.57 Anchor: 2026-06-08 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +12.1%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/2030.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	867.00M
P/E (TTM)	N/A
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	3.11
EPS	-2.76

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	N/A
Profit Margin	N/A
ROE	-13.9%
Debt/Equity	0.06
Current Ratio	8.53
Dividend Yield	N/A
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.37

Trading Data

57.80

Open

57.80

Day High

57.80

Day Low

852.7K

Volume (2.9x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)