Savola Group Company

2050.SR · Consumer Defensive · · SAR

25.82 SAR

0.00 (-0.54%)

● Updated 2026-05-12 13:15 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 60

Trend & RS 93

Momentum 65

Fundamental 47

Macro 73

Liquidity 54

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	60.0	10%
Trend & RS	93.1	10%
Momentum	64.6	5%
Fundamental	47.1	40%
Macro	72.8	15%
Liquidity	54.3	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	26.00
Stop Loss	24.92 (4.2%)
Target 1 (1:1)	27.08 (+4.2%)
Target 2 (2:1)	28.16 (+8.3%)

ATR(14)	0.54 (2.1%)
Risk per Share	1.08
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	87.3	+1.49
Momentum	64.6	+0.58
Quality	27.5	-0.90
Composite	59.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 2.49 — Grey Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	8.2	18.0	-54% below
P/B Ratio	1.4	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	6.5%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

33.50

Market Price

25.82

Upside

+29.7%

Margin of Safety	+22.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	2,978,269,189
Terminal Value PV	6,959,827,710
Total Enterprise Value	9,938,096,899

Assumptions

Base FCF	742,845,427
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

38.91%

Full Kelly

19.46%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 59/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.6%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

64.08

RSI(14)

0.3348

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) STRONG RS

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs TASI	↑ RISING (+20.3% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High	✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal
Sector Outperformance	+24.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

STRONG RS: Top performer — outperforming the market and making new relative highs. Institutional accumulation likely.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	64.08	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.3348	BEARISH
Ma Cross	24.01 / 22.87	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		UPPER BAND
Volume	0.87x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	28.65
Bollinger Upper	25.94
SMA(200)	22.87
SMA(50)	24.01
SMA(20)	25.19
Current Price	25.82
Bollinger Lower	24.44
52-Week Low	20.45
ATR(14)	0.54

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

50%

Buying Climax

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-06	Upthrust	3.99x	High volume up-bar closing near low — failed breakout (Upthrust)
2026-05-07	Stopping Volume	2.54x	High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume)
2026-05-10	Normal	0.87x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	Normal	3.43x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12	Normal	0.87x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	25.22	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	25.22	Base line
Senkou A	25.22	Leading span A
Senkou B	22.66	Leading span B
Cloud	22.66 – 25.22	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	26.00	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	24.41	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING

BB: 24.44 – 25.94 | KC: 24.5 – 25.88

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Regular Bearish	RSI	8
Regular Bearish	MACD	16

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 24.55 Anchor: 2026-03-03 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +5.9%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/2050.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	7.66B
P/E (TTM)	8.25
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	1.39
EPS	3.13

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	-4.0%
Profit Margin	3.8%
ROE	N/A
Debt/Equity	90.41
Current Ratio	N/A
Dividend Yield	6.5%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.20

Trading Data

25.82

Open

25.82

Day High

25.82

Day Low

1.25M

Volume (1.4x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)