National Gas and Industrialization Company

2080.SR · Energy · · SAR

70.10 SAR

+0.00 (1.59%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 18:03 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 27

Momentum 25

Fundamental 83

Macro 57

Liquidity 56

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	10%
Trend & RS	27.1	10%
Momentum	24.7	5%
Fundamental	83.3	40%
Macro	57.1	15%
Liquidity	55.6	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	70.10
Stop Loss	66.56 (5.0%)
Target 1 (1:1)	73.64 (+5.0%)
Target 2 (2:1)	77.18 (+10.1%)

ATR(14)	1.77 (2.5%)
Risk per Share	3.54
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	62.8	+0.51
Momentum	24.7	-1.01
Quality	34.9	-0.61
Composite	40.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 42.48 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	19.5	10.0	+95% above
P/B Ratio	2.4	1.5	Above
Dividend Yield	4.3%	4.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Energy median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value

65.20

Market Price

70.10

Upside

-7.0%

Margin of Safety	-7.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,229,765,437
Terminal Value PV	3,660,538,838
Total Enterprise Value	4,890,304,275

Assumptions

Base FCF	215,400,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	14.9%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

37.43%

Full Kelly

18.72%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 57/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.4%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

32.79

RSI(14)

-2.0532

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↓ FALLING (-16.4% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Energy)
RS New High	No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-7.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	32.79	NEUTRAL
Macd	-2.0532	BEARISH
Ma Cross	76.03 / 82.06	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.07x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	95.75
Bollinger Upper	77.85
SMA(200)	82.06
SMA(50)	76.03
SMA(20)	72.54
Current Price	70.10
Bollinger Lower	67.22
52-Week Low	66.05
ATR(14)	1.77

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION A Confidence

50%

Selling Climax

Acc: 2.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-05	Normal	1.08x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-06	Normal	0.93x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.58x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	No Demand	0.43x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest
2026-07-09	Normal	1.07x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	72.75	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	73.62	Base line
Senkou A	73.19	Leading span A
Senkou B	76.47	Leading span B
Cloud	73.19 – 76.47	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	70.10	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	77.90	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING

BB: 67.22 – 77.85 | KC: 69.86 – 75.21

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Hidden Bearish	RSI	23
Hidden Bearish	RSI	29

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 80.90 Anchor: 2025-09-14 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -13.3%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/2080.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	5.26B
P/E (TTM)	19.53
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	2.38
EPS	3.59

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	14.9%
Profit Margin	7.9%
ROE	13.0%
Debt/Equity	3.51
Current Ratio	1.30
Dividend Yield	4.3%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.11

Trading Data

70.10

Open

70.10

Day High

70.10

Day Low

149.0K

Volume (1.6x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)