Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Company

2081.SR · Utilities · · SAR

82.35 SAR

0.00 (-0.78%)

● Updated 2026-11-06 15:19 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 21

Momentum 18

Fundamental 56

Macro 53

Liquidity 28

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	20%
Trend & RS	21.1	30%
Momentum	17.7	15%
Fundamental	55.6	10%
Macro	53.3	20%
Liquidity	27.8	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	82.35
Stop Loss	77.27 (6.2%)
Target 1 (1:1)	87.43 (+6.2%)
Target 2 (2:1)	92.51 (+12.3%)

ATR(14)	2.54 (3.1%)
Risk per Share	5.08
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	81.8	+1.27
Momentum	17.7	-1.29
Quality	52.5	+0.10
Composite	50.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	10.9	16.0	-32% below
P/B Ratio	2.7	1.8	Above
Dividend Yield	2.1%	3.5%	Below avg

Comparing against Utilities median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value

80.81

Market Price

82.35

Upside

-1.9%

Margin of Safety	-1.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	847,560,044
Terminal Value PV	1,980,637,587
Total Enterprise Value	2,828,197,631

Assumptions

Base FCF	211,399,999
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.6%

Recommended Size

17.48%

Full Kelly

8.74%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 32/100. Estimated win rate 49%, avg win 6.9%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

44.81

RSI(14)

-2.3787

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↓ FALLING (-10.4% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Utilities)
RS New High	No (57d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-3.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	44.81	NEUTRAL
Macd	-2.3787	BULLISH
Ma Cross	89.32 / 109.08	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.48x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	149.60
Bollinger Upper	87.45
SMA(200)	109.08
SMA(50)	89.32
SMA(20)	81.9
Current Price	82.35
Bollinger Lower	76.35
52-Week Low	75.35
ATR(14)	2.54

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-11-01	Normal	0.83x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-02	Normal	0.36x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-03	Normal	0.54x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-04	Normal	0.81x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-05	Normal	0.48x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	80.03	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	84.07	Base line
Senkou A	82.05	Leading span A
Senkou B	88.67	Leading span B
Cloud	82.05 – 88.67	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	82.35	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	90.30	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH

BB: 76.35 – 87.45 | KC: 78.01 – 85.79

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 80.17 Anchor: 2026-10-25 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +2.7%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/2081.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	2.88B
P/E (TTM)	10.91
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	2.71
EPS	7.55

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	-20.2%
Profit Margin	11.9%
ROE	28.0%
Debt/Equity	121.03
Current Ratio	1.82
Dividend Yield	2.1%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.28

Trading Data

82.35

Open

82.35

Day High

82.35

Day Low

62.6K

Volume (0.4x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)