National Gypsum Company
2090.SR · Basic Materials · · SARFahodi Score STRONG SELL Mid-term (Position)
31
/ 100
Technical
0
Trend & RS
21
Momentum
39
Fundamental
61
Macro
59
Liquidity
25
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 0.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 21.1 | 30% |
| Momentum | 38.8 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 61.1 | 10% |
| Macro | 59.4 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 25.3 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 13.17 |
| Stop Loss | 12.73 (3.3%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 13.61 (+3.3%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 14.05 (+6.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.22 (1.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.44 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 97.4 | +1.89 | |
| Momentum | 38.8 | -0.45 | |
| Quality | 4.3 | -1.83 | |
| Composite | 46.8 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
2
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✗
✗
✗
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
6.50
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 0.8 | 2.5 | Below |
Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
17.3%
Full Kelly
8.65%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 31/100. Estimated win rate 49%, avg win 6.9%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
36.75
RSI(14)
-0.1712
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
15
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | ↓ FALLING (-2.6% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Basic Materials) |
| RS New High | No (44d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -8.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 36.75 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.1712 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 13.86 / 14.69 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.93x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 21.90 |
| Bollinger Upper | 13.75 |
| SMA(200) | 14.69 |
| SMA(50) | 13.86 |
| SMA(20) | 13.37 |
| Current Price | 13.17 |
| Bollinger Lower | 12.99 |
| 52-Week Low | 13.00 |
| ATR(14) | 0.22 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION A
Confidence
67%
Selling Climax
Volume Dry-Up (Distribution)
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 0.39x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 1.33x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 1.04x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-06 | Normal | 1.04x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-07 | Normal | 0.93x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 13.45 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 13.79 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 13.62 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 14.25 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 13.62 – 14.25 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 13.17 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 13.99 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH FADING
BB: 12.99 – 13.75 | KC: 13.04 – 13.7
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 14.42
Anchor: 2026-03-03 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-8.7%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/2090.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 417.05M |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 0.75 |
| EPS | -1.13 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 16.1% |
| Profit Margin | -56.8% |
| ROE | -8.0% |
| Debt/Equity | 6.62 |
| Current Ratio | 0.81 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.42 |
Trading Data
13.17
Open
13.17
Day High
13.17
Day Low
75.0K
Volume (0.7x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)