The National Company for Glass Industries

2150.SR · Consumer Cyclical · · SAR

37.26 SAR

0.00 (-0.11%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:00 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 77

Momentum 52

Fundamental 89

Macro 59

Liquidity 36

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	10%
Trend & RS	76.6	10%
Momentum	52.4	5%
Fundamental	88.9	40%
Macro	59.4	15%
Liquidity	35.7	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	37.26
Stop Loss	36.04 (3.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	38.48 (+3.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	39.70 (+6.5%)

ATR(14)	0.61 (1.6%)
Risk per Share	1.22
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	59.0	+0.36
Momentum	52.4	+0.10
Quality	64.6	+0.59
Composite	58.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 15.52 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	11.0	18.0	-39% below
P/B Ratio	1.4	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	3.3%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value

39.43

Market Price

37.26

Upside

+5.8%

Margin of Safety	+5.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	421,648,130
Terminal Value PV	875,758,159
Total Enterprise Value	1,297,406,289

Assumptions

Base FCF	89,224,800
Growth Rate (5yr)	9.9%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

45.38%

Full Kelly

22.69%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 69/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.2%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

46.58

RSI(14)

0.351

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↑ RISING (+6.4% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High	No (8d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+2.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	46.58	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.351	BEARISH
Ma Cross	36.77 / 36.4	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.51x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	42.50
Bollinger Upper	40.33
SMA(200)	36.4
SMA(50)	36.77
SMA(20)	37.61
Current Price	37.26
Bollinger Lower	34.9
52-Week Low	34.00
ATR(14)	0.61

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

75%

Buying Climax

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 3.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	0.5x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.58x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.84x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	0.84x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	Normal	0.51x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	38.46	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	37.74	Base line
Senkou A	38.10	Leading span A
Senkou B	37.63	Leading span B
Cloud	37.63 – 38.10	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	37.26	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	37.12	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH

BB: 34.9 – 40.33 | KC: 36.64 – 38.59

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 37.34 Anchor: 2026-03-01 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -0.2%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/2150.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	1.23B
P/E (TTM)	10.99
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	1.42
EPS	3.39

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	9.9%
Profit Margin	82.7%
ROE	13.5%
Debt/Equity	5.90
Current Ratio	2.14
Dividend Yield	3.3%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.35

Trading Data

37.26

Open

37.26

Day High

37.26

Day Low

136.4K

Volume (1.0x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)