Arabian Pipes Company

2200.SR · Basic Materials · · SAR

7.15 SAR

+0.00 (1.71%)

● Updated 2026-05-14 11:45 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 95

Momentum 88

Fundamental 67

Macro 62

Liquidity 38

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	95.2	30%
Momentum	88.3	15%
Fundamental	66.7	10%
Macro	62.5	20%
Liquidity	38.4	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	7.12
Stop Loss	6.60 (7.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	7.64 (+7.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	8.16 (+14.6%)

ATR(14)	0.26 (3.6%)
Risk per Share	0.52
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	78.3	+1.13
Momentum	88.3	+1.53
Quality	56.4	+0.26
Composite	74.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	13.0	18.0	-28% below
P/B Ratio	2.9	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	1.6%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

4.65

Market Price

7.15

Upside

-35.0%

Margin of Safety	-53.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	335,266,976
Terminal Value PV	594,831,117
Total Enterprise Value	930,098,093

Assumptions

Base FCF	88,000,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

50.34%

Full Kelly

25.17%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 78/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.7%, avg loss 3.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

60.14

RSI(14)

0.2336

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs TASI	↑ RISING (+37.3% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (8d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+29.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	60.14	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.2336	BEARISH
Ma Cross	6.14 / 5.55	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.92x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	7.54
Bollinger Upper	7.37
SMA(200)	5.55
SMA(50)	6.14
SMA(20)	7.08
Current Price	7.15
Bollinger Lower	6.8
52-Week Low	4.26
ATR(14)	0.26

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

50%

Buying Climax

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-10	Normal	0.33x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	Normal	0.65x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12	Normal	2.43x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-13	Normal	0.74x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-14	Normal	0.92x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	7.04	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	6.78	Base line
Senkou A	6.91	Leading span A
Senkou B	5.90	Leading span B
Cloud	5.90 – 6.91	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	7.12	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	6.09	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE ON 4 bars Momentum: BULLISH

BB: 6.8 – 7.37 | KC: 6.7 – 7.47

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago
Hidden Bullish	RSI	7
Hidden Bullish	MACD	7
Regular Bearish	RSI	12

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 6.42 Anchor: 2026-03-03 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +11.0%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/2200.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	1.43B
P/E (TTM)	13.00
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	2.93
EPS	0.55

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	-13.5%
Profit Margin	12.6%
ROE	24.8%
Debt/Equity	26.74
Current Ratio	2.40
Dividend Yield	1.6%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.51

Trading Data

7.15

Open

7.15

Day High

7.15

Day Low

7.77M

Volume (1.0x avg)

Recent News (1)

Exploring Middle Eastern Hidden Gems Including Arabian Pipes

Simply Wall St. · 2025-11-21

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)