National Metal Manufacturing and Casting Co.
2220.SR · Basic Materials · · SARFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
39
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
38
Momentum
56
Fundamental
11
Macro
60
Liquidity
32
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 37.7 | 30% |
| Momentum | 56.5 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 11.1 | 10% |
| Macro | 59.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 32.3 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 12.22 |
| Stop Loss | 11.70 (4.3%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 12.74 (+4.3%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 13.26 (+8.5%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.26 (2.1%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.52 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 84.4 | +1.37 | |
| Momentum | 56.5 | +0.26 | |
| Quality | 9.1 | -1.64 | |
| Composite | 50.0 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
1
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 2.0 | 2.5 | Below |
Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
24.26%
Full Kelly
12.13%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 39/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.4%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
50.93
RSI(14)
0.0537
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
19
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | → FLAT (+4.8% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Basic Materials) |
| RS New High | No (10d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -0.8% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 50.93 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.0537 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 12.15 / 12.64 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.99x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 18.50 |
| Bollinger Upper | 12.85 |
| SMA(200) | 12.64 |
| SMA(50) | 12.15 |
| SMA(20) | 12.22 |
| Current Price | 12.22 |
| Bollinger Lower | 11.59 |
| 52-Week Low | 10.70 |
| ATR(14) | 0.26 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION A
Confidence
75%
Buying Climax
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 3.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 0.54x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 0.95x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 0.33x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-06 | Normal | 0.33x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-07 | Normal | 0.99x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 12.41 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 12.23 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 12.32 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 12.25 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 12.25 – 12.32 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 12.22 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 11.81 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 11.59 – 12.85 | KC: 11.85 – 12.59
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 12.30
Anchor: 2026-03-01 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-0.6%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/2220.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 432.59M |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.99 |
| EPS | -0.60 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -38.7% |
| Profit Margin | -11.0% |
| ROE | -9.3% |
| Debt/Equity | 41.83 |
| Current Ratio | 1.40 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.52 |
Trading Data
12.22
Open
12.22
Day High
12.22
Day Low
141.6K
Volume (1.0x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)