Yanbu National Petrochemical Company

2290.SR · Basic Materials · · SAR

30.70 SAR

+0.00 (0.33%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 18:03 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 36

Momentum 54

Fundamental (0%) 78

Macro 57

Liquidity 41

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	40%
Trend & RS	35.5	20%
Momentum	53.9	20%
Fundamental	77.8	0%
Macro	57.1	15%
Liquidity	41.3	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	30.70
Stop Loss	29.26 (4.7%)
Target 1 (1:1)	32.14 (+4.7%)
Target 2 (2:1)	33.58 (+9.4%)

ATR(14)	0.72 (2.4%)
Risk per Share	1.44
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	46.4	-0.14
Momentum	53.9	+0.16
Quality	41.8	-0.33
Composite	47.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 101.19 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	219.3	18.0	+1118% above
P/B Ratio	1.7	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	6.5%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

1.73

Market Price

30.70

Upside

-94.4%

Margin of Safety	-1676.3%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	259,264,527
Terminal Value PV	712,884,923
Total Enterprise Value	972,149,450

Assumptions

Base FCF	63,000,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

31.39%

Full Kelly

15.7%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 48/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 7.9%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

51.31

RSI(14)

-0.5614

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↓ FALLING (-8.7% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (53d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-9.3% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	51.31	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.5614	BULLISH
Ma Cross	32.23 / 30.72	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.71x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	38.44
Bollinger Upper	30.75
SMA(200)	30.72
SMA(50)	32.23
SMA(20)	29.8
Current Price	30.70
Bollinger Lower	28.85
52-Week Low	24.00
ATR(14)	0.72

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-05	Normal	0.34x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-06	Normal	0.6x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.7x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	1.76x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.71x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	29.82	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	30.95	Base line
Senkou A	30.39	Leading span A
Senkou B	33.22	Leading span B
Cloud	30.39 – 33.22	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	30.70	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	31.80	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE ON 3 bars Momentum: BULLISH

BB: 28.85 – 30.75 | KC: 28.73 – 30.87

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Regular Bullish	RSI	5

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 32.89 Anchor: 2026-03-01 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -6.7%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/2290.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	17.27B
P/E (TTM)	219.29
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	1.70
EPS	0.14

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	-12.7%
Profit Margin	1.4%
ROE	0.7%
Debt/Equity	1.02
Current Ratio	3.33
Dividend Yield	6.5%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	-0.03

Trading Data

30.70

Open

30.70

Day High

30.70

Day Low

711.2K

Volume (0.7x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)