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Advanced Petrochemical Company

2330.SR · Basic Materials · · SAR
23.71 SAR
+0.00 (0.47%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 21:00 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)

39
/ 100
Technical 25
Trend & RS 35
Momentum 49
Fundamental 36
Macro 59
Liquidity 36
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 25.0 10%
Trend & RS 34.8 10%
Momentum 48.7 5%
Fundamental 35.6 40%
Macro 59.4 15%
Liquidity 35.9 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 23.71
Stop Loss 22.85 (3.6%)
Target 1 (1:1) 24.57 (+3.6%)
Target 2 (2:1) 25.43 (+7.2%)
ATR(14) 0.43 (1.8%)
Risk per Share 0.86
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 44.6 -0.22
Momentum 48.7 -0.05
Quality 13.5 -1.46
Composite 35.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 0.78 Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 1185.5 18.0 +6486% above
P/B Ratio 2.1 2.5 Below

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
0.42
vs
Market Price
23.71
Upside
-98.2%
Margin of Safety -5574.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)25,997,448
Terminal Value PV82,010,879
Total Enterprise Value108,008,327

Assumptions

Base FCF4,136,000
Growth Rate (5yr)18.5%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
23.68%
Full Kelly
11.84%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 39/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.3%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
45.75
RSI(14)
-0.0192
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

12
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs TASI → FLAT (-1.1% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector INLINE (Basic Materials)
RS New High No (60d since high)
Sector Outperformance -6.7% (3M)
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 45.75 NEUTRAL
Macd -0.0192 BEARISH
Ma Cross 23.51 / 25.9 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.97x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High38.64
Bollinger Upper25.28
SMA(200)25.9
SMA(50)23.51
SMA(20)24.27
Current Price23.71
Bollinger Lower23.25
52-Week Low21.55
ATR(14)0.43

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-09-01 Normal 0.6x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 0.71x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.0x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06 Normal 1.0x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07 Normal 0.97x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 24.18 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 23.76 Base line
Senkou A 23.97 Leading span A
Senkou B 23.53 Leading span B
Cloud 23.53 – 23.97 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 23.71 Inside Cloud
Chikou Span 23.00 Bullish
Alignment Score 3/4 NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING
BB: 23.25 – 25.28  |  KC: 23.7 – 24.84

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bullish RSI 28

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 24.87 Anchor: 2026-03-03 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -4.7%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/2330.SR

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap6.13B
P/E (TTM)1185.50
Forward P/EN/A
P/B2.12
EPS0.02

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth18.5%
Profit Margin0.1%
ROE0.1%
Debt/Equity326.33
Current Ratio0.46
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.28

Trading Data

23.71
Open
23.71
Day High
23.71
Day Low
350.2K
Volume (0.7x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —