City Cement Company

3003.SR · Basic Materials · · SAR

10.98 SAR

0.00 (-0.18%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 18:05 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 20

Trend & RS 21

Momentum 33

Fundamental 83

Macro 57

Liquidity 32

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	20.0	10%
Trend & RS	20.7	10%
Momentum	33.1	5%
Fundamental	83.3	40%
Macro	57.1	15%
Liquidity	31.7	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	10.98
Stop Loss	10.72 (2.4%)
Target 1 (1:1)	11.24 (+2.4%)
Target 2 (2:1)	11.50 (+4.7%)

ATR(14)	0.13 (1.2%)
Risk per Share	0.26
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	87.6	+1.50
Momentum	33.1	-0.68
Quality	65.2	+0.61
Composite	62.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 792.36 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	14.3	18.0	-21% below
P/B Ratio	0.9	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	10.5%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

6.51

Market Price

10.98

Upside

-40.7%

Margin of Safety	-68.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	328,561,636
Terminal Value PV	582,934,490
Total Enterprise Value	911,496,126

Assumptions

Base FCF	86,240,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

35.36%

Full Kelly

17.68%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 54/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.2%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

22.14

RSI(14)

-0.2296

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↓ FALLING (-6.5% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (28d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-7.0% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	22.14	OVERSOLD
Macd	-0.2296	BEARISH
Ma Cross	11.82 / 12.57	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.77x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	17.66
Bollinger Upper	11.9
SMA(200)	12.57
SMA(50)	11.82
SMA(20)	11.36
Current Price	10.98
Bollinger Lower	10.83
52-Week Low	10.90
ATR(14)	0.13

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-05	Normal	0.53x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-06	Normal	0.66x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	1.13x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.89x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.77x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	11.16	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	11.50	Base line
Senkou A	11.33	Leading span A
Senkou B	11.80	Leading span B
Cloud	11.33 – 11.80	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	10.98	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	11.99	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING

BB: 10.83 – 11.9 | KC: 11.16 – 11.57

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Hidden Bearish	MACD	7

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 11.95 Anchor: 2026-03-01 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -8.1%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/3003.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	1.54B
P/E (TTM)	14.26
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	0.86
EPS	0.77

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	-19.7%
Profit Margin	21.9%
ROE	5.9%
Debt/Equity	0.07
Current Ratio	5.17
Dividend Yield	10.5%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.16

Trading Data

10.98

Open

10.98

Day High

10.98

Day Low

536.3K

Volume (0.7x avg)

Recent News (1)

City Cement And 2 Other Undiscovered Gems In Middle East Stocks

Simply Wall St. · 2025-10-17

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)