Al Kathiri Holding Company
3008.SR · Basic Materials · · SARFahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)
28
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
17
Momentum
12
Fundamental (0%)
23
Macro
59
Liquidity
64
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 17.4 | 20% |
| Momentum | 11.9 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 23.1 | 0% |
| Macro | 59.4 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 64.4 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 1.22 |
| Stop Loss | 1.12 (8.2%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 1.32 (+8.2%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 1.42 (+16.4%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.05 (4.1%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.10 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 53.7 | +0.15 | |
| Momentum | 10.8 | -1.57 | |
| Quality | 6.0 | -1.76 | |
| Composite | 23.5 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
1
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
1.75
—
Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 4.9 | 2.5 | Above |
Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
14.1%
Full Kelly
7.05%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 28/100. Estimated win rate 48%, avg win 6.7%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
40.29
RSI(14)
-0.0439
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
6
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | ↓ FALLING (-22.1% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Basic Materials) |
| RS New High | No (60d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -27.8% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 40.29 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.0439 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 1.36 / 1.77 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 2.98x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 2.26 |
| Bollinger Upper | 1.39 |
| SMA(200) | 1.77 |
| SMA(50) | 1.36 |
| SMA(20) | 1.23 |
| Current Price | 1.22 |
| Bollinger Lower | 1.08 |
| 52-Week Low | 1.12 |
| ATR(14) | 0.05 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION A
Confidence
50%
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | No Demand | 0.37x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 0.23x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 1.23x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-06 | Normal | 1.23x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-07 | Upthrust | 2.98x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 1.28 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 1.27 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 1.28 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 1.39 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 1.28 – 1.39 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 1.22 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 1.41 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 1/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH FADING
BB: 1.08 – 1.39 | KC: 1.15 – 1.32
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 12 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 29 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 1.23
Anchor: 2026-08-18 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-0.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/3008.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 275.77M |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 4.90 |
| EPS | -0.22 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -45.9% |
| Profit Margin | -19.8% |
| ROE | -60.9% |
| Debt/Equity | 243.87 |
| Current Ratio | 1.13 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.53 |
Trading Data
1.22
Open
1.22
Day High
1.22
Day Low
33.10M
Volume (6.7x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)