YAMAMA Cement Company

3020.SR · Basic Materials · · SAR

23.14 SAR

+0.00 (0.00%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 18:31 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 30

Momentum 41

Fundamental 67

Macro 60

Liquidity 34

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	20%
Trend & RS	29.9	30%
Momentum	41.1	15%
Fundamental	66.7	10%
Macro	59.5	20%
Liquidity	33.9	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	23.14
Stop Loss	22.64 (2.2%)
Target 1 (1:1)	23.64 (+2.2%)
Target 2 (2:1)	24.14 (+4.3%)

ATR(14)	0.25 (1.1%)
Risk per Share	0.50
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	92.5	+1.70
Momentum	41.1	-0.36
Quality	52.8	+0.11
Composite	62.1

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	9.7	18.0	-46% below
P/B Ratio	0.9	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	4.3%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value

25.58

Market Price

23.14

Upside

+10.5%

Margin of Safety	+9.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,552,309,876
Terminal Value PV	3,627,546,275
Total Enterprise Value	5,179,856,151

Assumptions

Base FCF	387,180,009
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

25.08%

Full Kelly

12.54%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 40/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.4%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

40.01

RSI(14)

-0.1234

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↓ FALLING (-5.8% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (60d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-11.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	40.01	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.1234	BULLISH
Ma Cross	23.75 / 24.24	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.53x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	32.70
Bollinger Upper	23.63
SMA(200)	24.24
SMA(50)	23.75
SMA(20)	23.31
Current Price	23.14
Bollinger Lower	22.99
52-Week Low	22.13
ATR(14)	0.25

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	1.61x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.66x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.89x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	0.89x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	Normal	0.53x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	23.36	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	23.04	Base line
Senkou A	23.20	Leading span A
Senkou B	23.84	Leading span B
Cloud	23.20 – 23.84	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	23.14	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	22.93	Bullish
Alignment Score	2/4	NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH

BB: 22.99 – 23.63 | KC: 23.0 – 23.61

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Hidden Bearish	RSI	25

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 24.38 Anchor: 2025-12-01 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -5.1%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/3020.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	4.69B
P/E (TTM)	9.68
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	0.93
EPS	2.39

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	-2.0%
Profit Margin	34.5%
ROE	9.8%
Debt/Equity	37.52
Current Ratio	1.54
Dividend Yield	4.3%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.16

Trading Data

23.14

Open

23.14

Day High

23.14

Day Low

187.1K

Volume (0.6x avg)

Recent News (1)

Middle East Hidden Gems YAMAMA Cement And 2 Other Small Caps With Promising Potential

Simply Wall St. · 2026-01-07

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)