Saudi Cement Company

3030.SR · Basic Materials · · SAR

33.20 SAR

0.00 (-0.36%)

● Updated 2026-05-12 12:46 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 35

Momentum 42

Fundamental 89

Macro 73

Liquidity 37

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	10%
Trend & RS	35.4	10%
Momentum	41.5	5%
Fundamental	88.9	40%
Macro	72.8	15%
Liquidity	36.6	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	33.16
Stop Loss	32.24 (2.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	34.08 (+2.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	35.00 (+5.5%)

ATR(14)	0.46 (1.4%)
Risk per Share	0.92
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	79.2	+1.17
Momentum	41.5	-0.34
Quality	49.8	-0.01
Composite	56.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 14.84 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	13.9	18.0	-22% below
P/B Ratio	2.3	2.5	Inline
Dividend Yield	9.9%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

25.47

Market Price

33.20

Upside

-23.3%

Margin of Safety	-30.3%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,167,948,975
Terminal Value PV	2,729,344,838
Total Enterprise Value	3,897,293,813

Assumptions

Base FCF	291,312,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

39.04%

Full Kelly

19.52%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 59/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.6%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

44.73

RSI(14)

-0.0953

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	→ FLAT (-1.7% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (36d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-8.8% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	44.73	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.0953	BEARISH
Ma Cross	33.25 / 35.53	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.0x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	42.40
Bollinger Upper	34.28
SMA(200)	35.53
SMA(50)	33.25
SMA(20)	33.56
Current Price	33.20
Bollinger Lower	32.83
52-Week Low	29.74
ATR(14)	0.46

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION A Confidence

75%

Selling Climax

Acc: 3.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-06	Normal	1.12x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07	Normal	1.41x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-10	Normal	0.54x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	Normal	1.1x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12	Normal	1.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	33.45	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	33.57	Base line
Senkou A	33.51	Leading span A
Senkou B	31.79	Leading span B
Cloud	31.79 – 33.51	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	33.16	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	33.33	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH

BB: 32.83 – 34.28 | KC: 32.96 – 34.15

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Regular Bullish	MACD	5

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 33.13 Anchor: 2026-03-01 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +0.1%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/3030.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	5.08B
P/E (TTM)	13.95
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	2.29
EPS	2.38

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	-5.5%
Profit Margin	21.8%
ROE	16.3%
Debt/Equity	10.36
Current Ratio	1.67
Dividend Yield	9.9%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.07

Trading Data

33.20

Open

33.20

Day High

33.20

Day Low

117.0K

Volume (0.7x avg)

Recent News (1)

Middle East Hidden Gems Including Saudi Cement And Two Promising Small Caps

Simply Wall St. · 2025-08-19

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)