Yanbu Cement Company
3060.SR · Basic Materials · · SARFahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)
61
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
61
Momentum
62
Fundamental
78
Macro
73
Liquidity
24
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 61.4 | 30% |
| Momentum | 62.5 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 10% |
| Macro | 72.7 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 24.0 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 15.97 |
| Stop Loss | 15.43 (3.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 16.51 (+3.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 17.05 (+6.8%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.27 (1.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.54 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 76.0 | +1.04 | |
| Momentum | 62.5 | +0.50 | |
| Quality | 42.6 | -0.30 | |
| Composite | 60.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 24.3 | 18.0 | +35% above |
| P/B Ratio | 1.0 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 9.4% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
10.22
vs
Market Price
16.01
Upside
-36.2%
| Margin of Safety | -56.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 426,118,008 |
| Terminal Value PV | 1,183,781,021 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 1,609,899,029 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 83,159,997 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 10.9% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 10.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
40.29%
Full Kelly
20.15%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 61/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.7%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary BUY
3
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
71.53
RSI(14)
0.2595
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
53
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | → FLAT (+5.5% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Basic Materials) |
| RS New High | Near 3-month high 1d since high |
| Sector Outperformance | -1.0% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 71.53 | OVERBOUGHT |
| Macd | 0.2595 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 14.65 / 15.14 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | UPPER BAND | |
| Volume | 0.07x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 21.44 |
| Bollinger Upper | 15.83 |
| SMA(200) | 15.14 |
| SMA(50) | 14.65 |
| SMA(20) | 14.89 |
| Current Price | 16.01 |
| Bollinger Lower | 13.96 |
| 52-Week Low | 13.87 |
| ATR(14) | 0.27 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION A
Confidence
57%
Buying Climax
Sign of Strength
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.0 |
Markup: 1.5 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Normal | 1.16x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-07 | Normal | 0.92x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-10 | Normal | 2.75x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-11 | Normal | 3.33x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-12 | Normal | 0.07x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 15.33 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 15.14 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 15.24 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 15.00 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 15.00 – 15.24 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 15.97 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 14.21 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 13.96 – 15.83 | KC: 14.51 – 15.28
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 19 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 14.80
Anchor: 2026-03-03 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+7.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/3060.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 2.52B |
| P/E (TTM) | 24.26 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.00 |
| EPS | 0.66 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 10.9% |
| Profit Margin | 9.6% |
| ROE | 4.1% |
| Debt/Equity | 6.21 |
| Current Ratio | 2.61 |
| Dividend Yield | 9.4% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.06 |
Trading Data
16.01
Open
16.01
Day High
16.01
Day Low
25.6K
Volume (0.1x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)