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Yanbu Cement Company

3060.SR · Basic Materials · · SAR
16.01 SAR
+0.00 (0.13%)
● Updated 2026-05-12 10:46 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

61
/ 100
Technical 50
Trend & RS 61
Momentum 62
Fundamental 78
Macro 73
Liquidity 24
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 50.0 20%
Trend & RS 61.4 30%
Momentum 62.5 15%
Fundamental 77.8 10%
Macro 72.7 20%
Liquidity 24.0 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 15.97
Stop Loss 15.43 (3.4%)
Target 1 (1:1) 16.51 (+3.4%)
Target 2 (2:1) 17.05 (+6.8%)
ATR(14) 0.27 (1.7%)
Risk per Share 0.54
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 76.0 +1.04
Momentum 62.5 +0.50
Quality 42.6 -0.30
Composite 60.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 24.3 18.0 +35% above
P/B Ratio 1.0 2.5 Below
Dividend Yield 9.4% 2.0% Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
10.22
vs
Market Price
16.01
Upside
-36.2%
Margin of Safety -56.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)426,118,008
Terminal Value PV1,183,781,021
Total Enterprise Value1,609,899,029

Assumptions

Base FCF83,159,997
Growth Rate (5yr)10.9%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
40.29%
Full Kelly
20.15%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 61/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.7%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

3
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
71.53
RSI(14)
0.2595
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

53
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs TASI → FLAT (+5.5% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector INLINE (Basic Materials)
RS New High Near 3-month high 1d since high
Sector Outperformance -1.0% (3M)
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 71.53 OVERBOUGHT
Macd 0.2595 BULLISH
Ma Cross 14.65 / 15.14 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger UPPER BAND
Volume 0.07x LOW

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High21.44
Bollinger Upper15.83
SMA(200)15.14
SMA(50)14.65
SMA(20)14.89
Current Price16.01
Bollinger Lower13.96
52-Week Low13.87
ATR(14)0.27

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence
57%
Buying Climax Sign of Strength
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 2.0  |  Markup: 1.5  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-05-06 Normal 1.16x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07 Normal 0.92x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-10 Normal 2.75x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11 Normal 3.33x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12 Normal 0.07x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 15.33 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 15.14 Base line
Senkou A 15.24 Leading span A
Senkou B 15.00 Leading span B
Cloud 15.00 – 15.24 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 15.97 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 14.21 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 13.96 – 15.83  |  KC: 14.51 – 15.28

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bearish RSI 19

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 14.80 Anchor: 2026-03-03 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +7.9%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/3060.SR

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap2.52B
P/E (TTM)24.26
Forward P/EN/A
P/B1.00
EPS0.66

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth10.9%
Profit Margin9.6%
ROE4.1%
Debt/Equity6.21
Current Ratio2.61
Dividend Yield9.4%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.06

Trading Data

16.01
Open
16.01
Day High
16.01
Day Low
25.6K
Volume (0.1x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —