Yanbu Cement Company

3060.SR · Basic Materials · · SAR

15.79 SAR

0.00 (-1.25%)

● Updated 2026-05-12 12:46 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 60

Trend & RS 61

Momentum 61

Fundamental (0%) 89

Macro 73

Liquidity 39

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	60.0	40%
Trend & RS	60.6	20%
Momentum	60.6	20%
Fundamental	88.9	0%
Macro	72.8	15%
Liquidity	39.4	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	15.80
Stop Loss	15.24 (3.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	16.36 (+3.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	16.92 (+7.1%)

ATR(14)	0.28 (1.8%)
Risk per Share	0.56
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	76.2	+1.05
Momentum	60.6	+0.42
Quality	42.6	-0.30
Composite	59.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 10.51 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	23.9	18.0	+33% above
P/B Ratio	1.0	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	9.4%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

10.22

Market Price

15.79

Upside

-35.3%

Margin of Safety	-54.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	426,118,023
Terminal Value PV	1,183,781,063
Total Enterprise Value	1,609,899,086

Assumptions

Base FCF	83,160,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	10.9%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

40.16%

Full Kelly

20.08%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 61/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.7%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

67.12

RSI(14)

0.246

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	→ FLAT (+4.7% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	Near 3-month high 1d since high
Sector Outperformance	-2.3% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	67.12	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.246	BULLISH
Ma Cross	14.64 / 15.14	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		UPPER BAND
Volume	0.74x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	21.44
Bollinger Upper	15.78
SMA(200)	15.14
SMA(50)	14.64
SMA(20)	14.88
Current Price	15.79
Bollinger Lower	13.99
52-Week Low	13.87
ATR(14)	0.28

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

55%

Sign of Strength Buying Climax

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 3.0 | Markup: 1.5 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-06	Normal	1.13x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07	Normal	0.89x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-10	Normal	2.66x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	Normal	3.21x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12	Normal	0.74x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	15.33	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	15.14	Base line
Senkou A	15.24	Leading span A
Senkou B	15.00	Leading span B
Cloud	15.00 – 15.24	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	15.80	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	14.21	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING

BB: 13.99 – 15.78 | KC: 14.48 – 15.28

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Hidden Bearish	RSI	19

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 14.82 Anchor: 2026-03-03 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +6.6%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/3060.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	2.49B
P/E (TTM)	23.92
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	0.99
EPS	0.66

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	10.9%
Profit Margin	9.6%
ROE	4.1%
Debt/Equity	6.21
Current Ratio	2.61
Dividend Yield	9.4%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.06

Trading Data

15.79

Open

15.79

Day High

15.79

Day Low

404.2K

Volume (1.0x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)