Riyadh Cement Company

3092.SR · Basic Materials · · SAR

18.66 SAR

+0.00 (0.54%)

● Updated 2026-11-06 15:19 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 24

Momentum 30

Fundamental 67

Macro 53

Liquidity 36

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	20%
Trend & RS	24.3	30%
Momentum	29.8	15%
Fundamental	66.7	10%
Macro	53.3	20%
Liquidity	36.4	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	18.66
Stop Loss	17.82 (4.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	19.50 (+4.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	20.34 (+9.0%)

ATR(14)	0.42 (2.2%)
Risk per Share	0.84
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	88.0	+1.52
Momentum	29.8	-0.81
Quality	69.8	+0.79
Composite	62.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	12.1	18.0	-33% below
P/B Ratio	1.3	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	7.5%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

16.48

Market Price

18.66

Upside

-11.7%

Margin of Safety	-13.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	592,730,737
Terminal Value PV	1,385,134,636
Total Enterprise Value	1,977,865,373

Assumptions

Base FCF	147,840,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.6%

Recommended Size

21.3%

Full Kelly

10.65%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 36/100. Estimated win rate 51%, avg win 7.2%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

37.59

RSI(14)

-0.5144

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↓ FALLING (-7.5% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (38d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-1.3% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	37.59	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.5144	BULLISH
Ma Cross	20.58 / 21.79	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.92x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	25.88
Bollinger Upper	19.89
SMA(200)	21.79
SMA(50)	20.58
SMA(20)	19.04
Current Price	18.66
Bollinger Lower	18.18
52-Week Low	18.00
ATR(14)	0.42

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-11-01	Normal	0.32x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-02	Normal	0.57x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-03	Normal	0.64x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-04	Normal	1.02x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-05	Normal	0.92x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	18.74	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	19.25	Base line
Senkou A	19.00	Leading span A
Senkou B	20.49	Leading span B
Cloud	19.00 – 20.49	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	18.66	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	20.03	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING

BB: 18.18 – 19.89 | KC: 18.38 – 19.69

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Hidden Bearish	RSI	7
Hidden Bearish	RSI	15

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 18.82 Anchor: 2026-10-25 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -0.8%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/3092.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	2.24B
P/E (TTM)	12.12
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	1.27
EPS	1.54

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	1.3%
Profit Margin	24.1%
ROE	10.5%
Debt/Equity	0.06
Current Ratio	5.21
Dividend Yield	7.5%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.27

Trading Data

18.66

Open

18.66

Day High

18.66

Day Low

126.0K

Volume (0.9x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)