Dallah Healthcare Company

4004.SR · Healthcare · · SAR

111.90 SAR

0.00 (-0.09%)

● Updated 2026-05-12 10:46 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 20

Trend & RS 36

Momentum 25

Fundamental 67

Macro 73

Liquidity 30

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	20.0	20%
Trend & RS	35.8	30%
Momentum	25.4	15%
Fundamental	66.7	10%
Macro	72.7	20%
Liquidity	30.5	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	111.00
Stop Loss	103.26 (7.0%)
Target 1 (1:1)	118.74 (+7.0%)
Target 2 (2:1)	126.48 (+13.9%)

ATR(14)	3.87 (3.5%)
Risk per Share	7.74
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	70.5	+0.82
Momentum	25.4	-0.98
Quality	38.3	-0.47
Composite	44.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	20.8	22.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	2.8	4.0	Below
Dividend Yield	1.8%	1.5%	Above avg

Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

168.00

Market Price

111.90

Upside

+50.1%

Margin of Safety	+33.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	3,349,480,374
Terminal Value PV	13,635,486,309
Total Enterprise Value	16,984,966,683

Assumptions

Base FCF	435,955,888
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

25.82%

Full Kelly

12.91%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 41/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.5%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

32.06

RSI(14)

-2.9711

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	→ FLAT (-5.1% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Healthcare)
RS New High	No (26d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+5.9% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	32.06	NEUTRAL
Macd	-2.9711	BEARISH
Ma Cross	120.82 / 128.86	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		LOWER BAND
Volume	0.03x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	157.30
Bollinger Upper	130.25
SMA(200)	128.86
SMA(50)	120.82
SMA(20)	120.96
Current Price	111.90
Bollinger Lower	111.68
52-Week Low	90.00
ATR(14)	3.87

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION A Confidence

100%

Selling Climax

Acc: 2.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-06	Normal	0.76x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07	Normal	1.09x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-10	Stopping Volume	2.44x	High volume, wide spread, but closes mid — absorption of supply
2026-05-11	Normal	1.96x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12	No Demand	0.03x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	117.90	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	124.90	Base line
Senkou A	121.40	Leading span A
Senkou B	115.16	Leading span B
Cloud	115.16 – 121.40	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	111.00	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	134.40	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH

BB: 111.68 – 130.25 | KC: 115.61 – 126.32

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 119.58 Anchor: 2026-03-01 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -7.2%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/4004.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	11.31B
P/E (TTM)	20.76
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	2.77
EPS	5.39

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	37.3%
Profit Margin	13.2%
ROE	13.7%
Debt/Equity	95.48
Current Ratio	1.24
Dividend Yield	1.8%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	-0.41

Trading Data

111.90

Open

111.90

Day High

111.90

Day Low

1.6K

Volume (0.0x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)