Dallah Healthcare Company

4004.SR · Healthcare · · SAR

112.80 SAR

+0.00 (0.71%)

● Updated 2026-05-12 12:46 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 36

Momentum 28

Fundamental (0%) 64

Macro 73

Liquidity 34

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	40%
Trend & RS	36.2	20%
Momentum	27.9	20%
Fundamental	63.5	0%
Macro	72.8	15%
Liquidity	33.9	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	112.90
Stop Loss	104.98 (7.0%)
Target 1 (1:1)	120.82 (+7.0%)
Target 2 (2:1)	128.74 (+14.0%)

ATR(14)	3.96 (3.5%)
Risk per Share	7.92
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	59.2	+0.37
Momentum	27.9	-0.88
Quality	38.3	-0.47
Composite	41.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 3.02 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	20.9	22.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	2.8	4.0	Below
Dividend Yield	1.8%	1.5%	Above avg

Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

168.00

Market Price

112.80

Upside

+48.9%

Margin of Safety	+32.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	3,349,480,556
Terminal Value PV	13,635,487,057
Total Enterprise Value	16,984,967,613

Assumptions

Base FCF	435,955,912
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

11.55%

Full Kelly

5.78%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 25/100. Estimated win rate 48%, avg win 6.5%, avg loss 4.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

35.18

RSI(14)

-2.8195

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	→ FLAT (-4.2% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Healthcare)
RS New High	No (26d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+6.9% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	35.18	NEUTRAL
Macd	-2.8195	BEARISH
Ma Cross	120.86 / 128.87	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.63x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	157.30
Bollinger Upper	129.94
SMA(200)	128.87
SMA(50)	120.86
SMA(20)	121.06
Current Price	112.80
Bollinger Lower	112.18
52-Week Low	90.00
ATR(14)	3.96

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION A Confidence

75%

Selling Climax

Acc: 3.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-06	Normal	0.74x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07	Normal	1.05x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-10	Stopping Volume	2.37x	High volume, wide spread, but closes mid — absorption of supply
2026-05-11	Normal	1.91x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12	Normal	0.63x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	117.90	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	124.90	Base line
Senkou A	121.40	Leading span A
Senkou B	115.16	Leading span B
Cloud	115.16 – 121.40	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	112.90	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	134.40	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING

BB: 112.18 – 129.94 | KC: 115.61 – 126.51

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 119.50 Anchor: 2026-03-01 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -5.5%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/4004.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	11.40B
P/E (TTM)	20.93
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	2.79
EPS	5.39

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	37.3%
Profit Margin	13.2%
ROE	13.7%
Debt/Equity	95.48
Current Ratio	1.24
Dividend Yield	1.8%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	-0.41

Trading Data

112.80

Open

112.80

Day High

112.80

Day Low

73.0K

Volume (0.4x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)