Middle East Healthcare Company

4009.SR · Healthcare · · SAR

32.50 SAR

0.00 (-1.46%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:01 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 49

Momentum 51

Fundamental (0%) 42

Macro 59

Liquidity 43

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	40%
Trend & RS	49.3	20%
Momentum	51.4	20%
Fundamental	41.5	0%
Macro	59.4	15%
Liquidity	43.2	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	32.50
Stop Loss	31.02 (4.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	33.98 (+4.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	35.46 (+9.1%)

ATR(14)	0.74 (2.3%)
Risk per Share	1.48
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	76.3	+1.05
Momentum	51.4	+0.05
Quality	28.7	-0.85
Composite	52.1

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 1.93 — Grey Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	16.2	22.0	-26% below
P/B Ratio	1.9	4.0	Below
Dividend Yield	1.5%	1.5%	Avg

Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

26.30

Market Price

32.50

Upside

-19.1%

Margin of Safety	-23.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	676,357,790
Terminal Value PV	1,744,553,509
Total Enterprise Value	2,420,911,299

Assumptions

Base FCF	147,264,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	6.9%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

33.37%

Full Kelly

16.69%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 51/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 8.1%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

53.17

RSI(14)

0.4637

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↑ RISING (+5.9% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Healthcare)
RS New High	No (5d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-1.7% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	53.17	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.4637	BULLISH
Ma Cross	31.69 / 33.48	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.86x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	59.20
Bollinger Upper	33.97
SMA(200)	33.48
SMA(50)	31.69
SMA(20)	32.14
Current Price	32.50
Bollinger Lower	30.3
52-Week Low	28.66
ATR(14)	0.74

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION C Confidence

78%

Upthrust (potential)

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 3.5 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	1.47x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.99x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.58x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	1.58x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	Normal	0.86x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	32.99	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	32.28	Base line
Senkou A	32.64	Leading span A
Senkou B	31.86	Leading span B
Cloud	31.86 – 32.64	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	32.50	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	32.46	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING

BB: 30.3 – 33.97 | KC: 31.12 – 33.16

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Regular Bullish	RSI	28

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 33.84 Anchor: 2026-03-03 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -4.0%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/4009.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	2.99B
P/E (TTM)	16.25
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	1.94
EPS	2.00

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	6.9%
Profit Margin	4.3%
ROE	N/A
Debt/Equity	155.15
Current Ratio	N/A
Dividend Yield	1.5%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	-0.02

Trading Data

32.50

Open

32.50

Day High

32.50

Day Low

432.4K

Volume (1.1x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)