Almoosa Health Company

4018.SR · Healthcare · · SAR

106.00 SAR

+0.00 (3.31%)

● Updated 2026-11-06 15:19 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 24

Momentum 38

Fundamental 68

Macro 56

Liquidity 76

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	20%
Trend & RS	24.0	30%
Momentum	38.1	15%
Fundamental	68.3	10%
Macro	56.4	20%
Liquidity	76.5	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	106.00
Stop Loss	98.48 (7.1%)
Target 1 (1:1)	113.52 (+7.1%)
Target 2 (2:1)	121.04 (+14.2%)

ATR(14)	3.76 (3.5%)
Risk per Share	7.52
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	57.3	+0.29
Momentum	34.7	-0.61
Quality	39.5	-0.42
Composite	43.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 2.94 — Grey Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	23.9	22.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	2.4	4.0	Below
Dividend Yield	94.0%	1.5%	Above avg

Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

84.66

Market Price

106.00

Upside

-20.1%

Margin of Safety	-25.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	928,213,259
Terminal Value PV	2,822,684,580
Total Enterprise Value	3,750,897,839

Assumptions

Base FCF	157,011,888
Growth Rate (5yr)	16.2%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.6%

Recommended Size

24.67%

Full Kelly

12.34%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 40/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.4%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

46.39

RSI(14)

-3.0211

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	→ FLAT (-4.3% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Healthcare)
RS New High	No (26d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+3.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	46.39	NEUTRAL
Macd	-3.0211	BULLISH
Ma Cross	112.89 / 126.0	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	2.45x	HIGH

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	188.50
Bollinger Upper	117.74
SMA(200)	126.0
SMA(50)	112.89
SMA(20)	106.72
Current Price	106.00
Bollinger Lower	95.69
52-Week Low	96.50
ATR(14)	3.76

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-11-01	Normal	0.5x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-02	Normal	2.54x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-03	Normal	1.01x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-04	Normal	1.35x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-05	Normal	2.45x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	101.75	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	107.55	Base line
Senkou A	104.65	Leading span A
Senkou B	109.50	Leading span B
Cloud	104.65 – 109.50	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	106.00	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	116.50	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING

BB: 95.69 – 117.74 | KC: 100.98 – 112.45

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Hidden Bearish	RSI	27

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 102.25 Anchor: 2026-10-26 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +3.7%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

EXHAUSTION Trend exhaustion (3 doji candles) Full data via /api/advanced/4018.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	4.70B
P/E (TTM)	23.93
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	2.39
EPS	4.43

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	16.2%
Profit Margin	10.9%
ROE	8.4%
Debt/Equity	73.47
Current Ratio	1.90
Dividend Yield	94.0%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	N/A

Trading Data

106.00

Open

106.00

Day High

106.00

Day Low

53.3K

Volume (2.5x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)