Red Sea International Company
4230.SR · Real Estate · · SARFahodi Score STRONG SELL Long-term (Investment)
32
/ 100
Technical
0
Trend & RS
22
Momentum
56
Fundamental
34
Macro
59
Liquidity
20
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 0.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 22.0 | 10% |
| Momentum | 56.1 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 34.1 | 40% |
| Macro | 59.4 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 20.5 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 23.16 |
| Stop Loss | 22.02 (4.9%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 24.30 (+4.9%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 25.44 (+9.8%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.57 (2.5%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.14 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 72.0 | +0.88 | |
| Momentum | 56.1 | +0.24 | |
| Quality | 11.3 | -1.55 | |
| Composite | 46.5 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
2
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✗
✗
✗
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
2.30
—
Grey Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 2.7 | 1.5 | Above |
Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
17.57%
Full Kelly
8.79%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 32/100. Estimated win rate 50%, avg win 6.9%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
43.02
RSI(14)
-0.1411
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
5
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | → FLAT (+3.2% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Real Estate) |
| RS New High | No (38d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -1.7% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 43.02 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.1411 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 24.29 / 25.93 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.37x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 47.10 |
| Bollinger Upper | 24.38 |
| SMA(200) | 25.93 |
| SMA(50) | 24.29 |
| SMA(20) | 23.52 |
| Current Price | 23.16 |
| Bollinger Lower | 22.65 |
| 52-Week Low | 19.30 |
| ATR(14) | 0.57 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION A
Confidence
80%
Volume Dry-Up (Distribution)
Buying Climax
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 4.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | No Demand | 0.44x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 0.41x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | No Supply | 0.47x | Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure |
| 2026-09-06 | No Supply | 0.47x | Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure |
| 2026-09-07 | Normal | 0.37x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 23.73 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 23.64 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 23.69 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 25.02 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 23.69 – 25.02 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 23.16 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 24.12 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 1/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 22.65 – 24.38 | KC: 22.75 – 24.29
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 16 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 24.37
Anchor: 2026-03-01 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-5.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/4230.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 1.12B |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.67 |
| EPS | -1.50 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -22.0% |
| Profit Margin | -1.8% |
| ROE | -10.8% |
| Debt/Equity | 61.77 |
| Current Ratio | 1.12 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.47 |
Trading Data
23.16
Open
23.16
Day High
23.16
Day Low
255.3K
Volume (0.2x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)