Theeb Rent A Car Company
4261.SR · Industrials · · SARFahodi Score STRONG SELL Mid-term (Position)
31
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
17
Momentum
21
Fundamental
56
Macro
53
Liquidity
27
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 16.6 | 30% |
| Momentum | 21.3 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 10% |
| Macro | 53.3 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 27.3 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 17.69 |
| Stop Loss | 16.45 (7.0%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 18.93 (+7.0%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 20.17 (+14.0%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.62 (3.5%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.24 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 92.5 | +1.70 | |
| Momentum | 21.3 | -1.15 | |
| Quality | 29.1 | -0.84 | |
| Composite | 47.6 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 8.3 | 18.0 | -54% below |
| P/B Ratio | 1.2 | 3.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 3.8% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
32.02
vs
Market Price
17.69
Upside
+81.0%
| Margin of Safety | +44.8% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 634,862,498 |
| Terminal Value PV | 1,477,526,211 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 2,112,388,709 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 112,943,215 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 16.4% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 12.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
16.74%
Full Kelly
8.37%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 31/100. Estimated win rate 49%, avg win 6.8%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
48.11
RSI(14)
-0.4812
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
4
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | ↓ FALLING (-8.0% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Industrials) |
| RS New High | No (48d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +1.2% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 48.11 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.4812 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 19.0 / 25.12 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.84x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 43.27 |
| Bollinger Upper | 18.33 |
| SMA(200) | 25.12 |
| SMA(50) | 19.0 |
| SMA(20) | 17.27 |
| Current Price | 17.69 |
| Bollinger Lower | 16.22 |
| 52-Week Low | 15.80 |
| ATR(14) | 0.62 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION A
Confidence
50%
Buying Climax
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Normal | 0.38x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.62x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | No Demand | 0.37x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 0.7x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 0.84x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 17.03 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 17.70 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 17.37 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 18.94 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 17.37 – 18.94 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 17.69 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 19.18 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 16.22 – 18.33 | KC: 16.29 – 18.26
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 7 | |
| Hidden Bearish | MACD | 7 | |
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 22 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 26 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 17.24
Anchor: 2026-10-25 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+2.6%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/4261.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 1.17B |
| P/E (TTM) | 8.27 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.23 |
| EPS | 2.14 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 16.4% |
| Profit Margin | 8.5% |
| ROE | 15.1% |
| Debt/Equity | 230.29 |
| Current Ratio | 0.48 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.8% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.07 |
Trading Data
17.69
Open
17.69
Day High
17.69
Day Low
453.9K
Volume (0.6x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)