Cherry Trading Company

4265.SR · Industrials · · SAR

19.50 SAR

0.00 (-2.50%)

● Updated 2026-11-06 18:19 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 19

Momentum 23

Fundamental 34

Macro 57

Liquidity 32

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	10%
Trend & RS	18.6	10%
Momentum	23.2	5%
Fundamental	34.1	40%
Macro	57.1	15%
Liquidity	32.0	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	19.50
Stop Loss	17.94 (8.0%)
Target 1 (1:1)	21.06 (+8.0%)
Target 2 (2:1)	22.62 (+16.0%)

ATR(14)	0.78 (4.0%)
Risk per Share	1.56
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	92.1	+1.68
Momentum	23.2	-1.07
Quality	31.7	-0.73
Composite	49.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 1.19 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	7.9	18.0	-56% below
P/B Ratio	1.0	3.0	Below
Dividend Yield	2.6%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

50.61

Market Price

19.50

Upside

+159.6%

Margin of Safety	+61.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	415,351,702
Terminal Value PV	1,103,078,856
Total Enterprise Value	1,518,430,558

Assumptions

Base FCF	59,040,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.6%

Recommended Size

19.73%

Full Kelly

9.86%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 34/100. Estimated win rate 50%, avg win 7.0%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

40.79

RSI(14)

-0.6248

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↓ FALLING (-9.3% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Industrials)
RS New High	No (52d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-0.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	40.79	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.6248	BULLISH
Ma Cross	21.72 / 24.0	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.05x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	31.68
Bollinger Upper	21.81
SMA(200)	24.0
SMA(50)	21.72
SMA(20)	19.96
Current Price	19.50
Bollinger Lower	18.11
52-Week Low	17.53
ATR(14)	0.78

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-11-01	Normal	0.34x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-02	Normal	0.61x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-03	Normal	0.45x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-04	Normal	0.5x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-05	Normal	1.05x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	19.26	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	20.09	Base line
Senkou A	19.67	Leading span A
Senkou B	21.48	Leading span B
Cloud	19.67 – 21.48	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	19.50	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	21.97	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH

BB: 18.11 – 21.81 | KC: 18.74 – 21.18

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Hidden Bearish	RSI	24
Regular Bullish	RSI	27

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 19.27 Anchor: 2026-10-25 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +1.2%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/4265.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	585.00M
P/E (TTM)	7.93
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	0.97
EPS	2.46

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	39.8%
Profit Margin	12.0%
ROE	12.8%
Debt/Equity	164.00
Current Ratio	0.69
Dividend Yield	2.6%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	N/A

Trading Data

19.50

Open

19.50

Day High

19.50

Day Low

88.3K

Volume (0.9x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)