Al Khaleej Training and Education Company

4290.SR · Consumer Defensive · · SAR

14.20 SAR

0.00 (-1.25%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:00 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 18

Momentum 32

Fundamental 28

Macro 59

Liquidity 27

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	10%
Trend & RS	18.2	10%
Momentum	32.0	5%
Fundamental	27.8	40%
Macro	59.4	15%
Liquidity	27.1	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	14.20
Stop Loss	13.54 (4.7%)
Target 1 (1:1)	14.86 (+4.7%)
Target 2 (2:1)	15.52 (+9.3%)

ATR(14)	0.33 (2.3%)
Risk per Share	0.66
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	39.5	-0.42
Momentum	32.0	-0.72
Quality	21.6	-1.14
Composite	31.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 3 /9 — Weak

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 1.11 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	118.3	18.0	+557% above
P/B Ratio	1.8	2.5	Below

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

1.01

Market Price

14.20

Upside

-92.9%

Margin of Safety	-1299.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	23,773,476
Terminal Value PV	42,178,932
Total Enterprise Value	65,952,408

Assumptions

Base FCF	6,240,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

14.96%

Full Kelly

7.48%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 29/100. Estimated win rate 49%, avg win 6.7%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

44.94

RSI(14)

0.0438

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↓ FALLING (-5.4% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High	No (60d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-10.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	44.94	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.0438	BEARISH
Ma Cross	14.25 / 17.06	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.63x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	29.38
Bollinger Upper	15.33
SMA(200)	17.06
SMA(50)	14.25
SMA(20)	14.47
Current Price	14.20
Bollinger Lower	13.62
52-Week Low	13.13
ATR(14)	0.33

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	No Supply	0.4x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure
2026-09-02	Normal	0.55x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.74x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	0.74x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	Normal	0.63x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	14.55	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	14.34	Base line
Senkou A	14.44	Leading span A
Senkou B	14.30	Leading span B
Cloud	14.30 – 14.44	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	14.20	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	14.01	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH

BB: 13.62 – 15.33 | KC: 13.93 – 15.02

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Regular Bullish	RSI	18
Regular Bullish	RSI	28

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 14.39 Anchor: 2026-07-30 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -1.4%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/4290.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	923.00M
P/E (TTM)	118.33
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	1.76
EPS	0.12

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	-10.3%
Profit Margin	0.7%
ROE	2.8%
Debt/Equity	236.59
Current Ratio	1.12
Dividend Yield	N/A
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.49

Trading Data

14.20

Open

14.20

Day High

14.20

Day Low

151.5K

Volume (0.6x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)