Ataa Educational Company

4292.SR · Consumer Defensive · · SAR

43.12 SAR

0.00 (-1.73%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:01 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 19

Momentum 25

Fundamental 39

Macro 59

Liquidity 38

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	10%
Trend & RS	19.0	10%
Momentum	24.8	5%
Fundamental	38.6	40%
Macro	59.4	15%
Liquidity	37.8	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	43.12
Stop Loss	40.48 (6.1%)
Target 1 (1:1)	45.76 (+6.1%)
Target 2 (2:1)	48.40 (+12.2%)

ATR(14)	1.32 (3.1%)
Risk per Share	2.64
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	67.1	+0.68
Momentum	24.8	-1.01
Quality	35.2	-0.59
Composite	42.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 1.64 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	21.0	18.0	+17% above
P/B Ratio	2.2	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	5.1%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

17.33

Market Price

43.12

Upside

-59.8%

Margin of Safety	-148.8%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	262,967,537
Terminal Value PV	466,557,355
Total Enterprise Value	729,524,892

Assumptions

Base FCF	69,023,033
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

20.61%

Full Kelly

10.3%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 35/100. Estimated win rate 51%, avg win 7.1%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

37.95

RSI(14)

-0.7733

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↓ FALLING (-15.2% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High	No (60d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-20.4% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	37.95	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.7733	BEARISH
Ma Cross	46.4 / 52.26	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.53x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	70.60
Bollinger Upper	47.79
SMA(200)	52.26
SMA(50)	46.4
SMA(20)	45.09
Current Price	43.12
Bollinger Lower	42.38
52-Week Low	42.00
ATR(14)	1.32

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION C Confidence

38%

Spring (potential) Buying Climax

Acc: 2.5 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	1.3x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	No Demand	0.3x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest
2026-09-03	Normal	0.71x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	0.71x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	Spring	0.53x	Price broke below support then recovered on low volume — potential reversal

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	44.39	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	45.70	Base line
Senkou A	45.05	Leading span A
Senkou B	46.95	Leading span B
Cloud	45.05 – 46.95	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	43.12	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	47.98	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH

BB: 42.38 – 47.79 | KC: 43.14 – 47.03

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Regular Bullish	RSI	7
Hidden Bearish	RSI	19

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 45.30 Anchor: 2026-07-20 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -4.8%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/4292.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	1.81B
P/E (TTM)	21.03
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	2.21
EPS	2.05

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	-0.8%
Profit Margin	14.2%
ROE	10.7%
Debt/Equity	122.81
Current Ratio	1.06
Dividend Yield	5.1%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.16

Trading Data

43.12

Open

43.12

Day High

43.12

Day Low

100.2K

Volume (1.0x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)