Riyad REIT Fund
4330.SR · Real Estate · · SARFahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)
36
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
61
Momentum
50
Fundamental
17
Macro
73
Liquidity
21
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 60.6 | 10% |
| Momentum | 49.5 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 17.3 | 40% |
| Macro | 72.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 20.8 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 4.99 |
| Stop Loss | 4.87 (2.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 5.11 (+2.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 5.23 (+4.8%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.06 (1.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.12 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 82.4 | +1.29 | |
| Momentum | 49.5 | -0.02 | |
| Quality | 42.7 | -0.29 | |
| Composite | 58.2 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
2
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✗
✗
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
0.62
—
Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 0.7 | 1.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 6.4% | 4.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
20.96%
Full Kelly
10.48%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 36/100. Estimated win rate 51%, avg win 7.1%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
48.88
RSI(14)
0.0085
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
51
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | → FLAT (+3.3% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Real Estate) |
| RS New High | No (43d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +3.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 48.88 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.0085 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 4.95 / 4.98 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.38x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 5.94 |
| Bollinger Upper | 5.09 |
| SMA(200) | 4.98 |
| SMA(50) | 4.95 |
| SMA(20) | 5.02 |
| Current Price | 5.00 |
| Bollinger Lower | 4.95 |
| 52-Week Low | 4.70 |
| ATR(14) | 0.06 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION A
Confidence
75%
Selling Climax
Acc: 3.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Normal | 1.16x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-07 | Normal | 0.7x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-10 | Normal | 0.48x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-11 | Normal | 0.73x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-12 | No Demand | 0.38x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 5.00 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 5.04 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 5.02 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 4.84 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 4.84 – 5.02 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 4.99 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 4.96 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 2/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
10 bars
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 4.95 – 5.09 | KC: 4.94 – 5.11
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 4.98
Anchor: 2026-03-01 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+0.3%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/4330.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 858.49M |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 0.74 |
| EPS | -0.08 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 16.9% |
| Profit Margin | -4.9% |
| ROE | -1.1% |
| Debt/Equity | 118.64 |
| Current Ratio | 6.03 |
| Dividend Yield | 6.4% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.01 |
Trading Data
5.00
Open
5.00
Day High
5.00
Day Low
38.5K
Volume (0.4x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)