Al Maather Reit Fund
4334.SR · Real Estate · · SARFahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)
59
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
80
Momentum
54
Fundamental
54
Macro
59
Liquidity
52
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 80.2 | 10% |
| Momentum | 53.8 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 53.6 | 40% |
| Macro | 59.4 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 51.7 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 8.80 |
| Stop Loss | 8.68 (1.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 8.92 (+1.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 9.04 (+2.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.06 (0.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.12 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 76.3 | +1.05 | |
| Momentum | 53.8 | +0.15 | |
| Quality | 63.3 | +0.53 | |
| Composite | 64.5 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✗
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
2.03
—
Grey Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 17.2 | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 1.1 | 1.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 7.7% | 4.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
4.94
vs
Market Price
8.80
Upside
-43.9%
| Margin of Safety | -78.3% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 104,440,396 |
| Terminal Value PV | 198,457,851 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 302,898,247 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 25,038,960 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 5.3% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 12.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
38.71%
Full Kelly
19.36%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 59/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.5%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
54.03
RSI(14)
0.0293
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
50
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | ↑ RISING (+5.4% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Real Estate) |
| RS New High | No (6d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +0.5% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 54.03 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.0293 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 8.72 / 8.54 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.34x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 9.31 |
| Bollinger Upper | 8.89 |
| SMA(200) | 8.54 |
| SMA(50) | 8.72 |
| SMA(20) | 8.8 |
| Current Price | 8.80 |
| Bollinger Lower | 8.71 |
| 52-Week Low | 8.51 |
| ATR(14) | 0.06 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION A
Confidence
75%
Buying Climax
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 3.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 0.69x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 1.16x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | No Demand | 0.52x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
| 2026-09-06 | No Demand | 0.52x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
| 2026-09-07 | Normal | 1.34x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 8.83 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 8.73 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 8.78 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 8.73 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 8.73 – 8.78 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 8.80 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 8.59 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
1 bars
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 8.71 – 8.89 | KC: 8.71 – 8.89
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 26 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 8.59
Anchor: 2026-01-15 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+2.4%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/4334.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 540.06M |
| P/E (TTM) | 17.25 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.07 |
| EPS | 0.51 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 5.3% |
| Profit Margin | 44.7% |
| ROE | 6.1% |
| Debt/Equity | 39.33 |
| Current Ratio | 2.52 |
| Dividend Yield | 7.7% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.04 |
Trading Data
8.80
Open
8.80
Day High
8.80
Day Low
67.1K
Volume (1.8x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)