Muscat Capital - Al Masha'ar REIT Fund
4337.SR · Real Estate · · SARFahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)
76
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
94
Momentum
75
Fundamental (0%)
21
Macro
76
Liquidity
15
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 93.5 | 20% |
| Momentum | 74.7 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 20.7 | 0% |
| Macro | 75.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 14.8 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 5.31 |
| Stop Loss | 5.03 (5.3%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 5.59 (+5.3%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 5.87 (+10.6%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.14 (2.6%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.28 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 53.5 | +0.14 | |
| Momentum | 74.7 | +0.99 | |
| Quality | 10.1 | -1.59 | |
| Composite | 46.1 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
2
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✗
✗
✗
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
0.96
—
Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 1.3 | 1.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 1.7% | 4.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
49.14%
Full Kelly
24.57%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 76/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.5%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
57.2
RSI(14)
0.0166
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
83
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs TASI | ↑ RISING (+27.8% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Real Estate) |
| RS New High | Near 3-month high 34d since high |
| Sector Outperformance | +27.9% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 57.2 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.0166 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 5.17 / 4.39 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.04x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 5.56 |
| Bollinger Upper | 5.42 |
| SMA(200) | 4.39 |
| SMA(50) | 5.17 |
| SMA(20) | 5.25 |
| Current Price | 5.33 |
| Bollinger Lower | 5.09 |
| 52-Week Low | 3.72 |
| ATR(14) | 0.14 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION A
Confidence
50%
Buying Climax
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.0 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | No Demand | 0.12x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
| 2026-05-07 | Normal | 1.14x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-10 | Normal | 0.19x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-11 | Normal | 5.07x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-12 | Normal | 0.04x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 5.06 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 5.16 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 5.11 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 4.86 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 4.86 – 5.11 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 5.31 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 5.24 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
23 bars
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 5.09 – 5.42 | KC: 5.05 – 5.45
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 21 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 4.89
Anchor: 2025-11-26 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+8.7%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/4337.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 305.09M |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.26 |
| EPS | -0.02 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 29.9% |
| Profit Margin | -4.4% |
| ROE | -0.4% |
| Debt/Equity | 61.91 |
| Current Ratio | 0.06 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.7% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.09 |
Trading Data
5.33
Open
5.33
Day High
5.33
Day Low
6.7K
Volume (0.0x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)