Jadwa Investment - Jadwa Reit Saudi Fund

4342.SR · Real Estate · · SAR

9.50 SAR

0.00 (-1.25%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 18:32 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 40

Trend & RS 26

Momentum 33

Fundamental 67

Macro 60

Liquidity 40

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	40.0	20%
Trend & RS	25.5	30%
Momentum	32.6	15%
Fundamental	66.7	10%
Macro	59.5	20%
Liquidity	40.4	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	9.50
Stop Loss	9.24 (2.7%)
Target 1 (1:1)	9.76 (+2.7%)
Target 2 (2:1)	10.02 (+5.5%)

ATR(14)	0.13 (1.4%)
Risk per Share	0.26
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	72.3	+0.89
Momentum	32.6	-0.69
Quality	65.9	+0.63
Composite	56.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	27.1	18.0	+51% above
P/B Ratio	1.1	1.5	Below
Dividend Yield	8.3%	4.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

2.96

Market Price

9.50

Upside

-68.8%

Margin of Safety	-221.0%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	198,960,922
Terminal Value PV	352,996,732
Total Enterprise Value	551,957,654

Assumptions

Base FCF	52,222,743
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

25.65%

Full Kelly

12.83%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 41/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.5%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

35.4

RSI(14)

-0.1133

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↓ FALLING (-10.5% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Real Estate)
RS New High	No (51d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-15.4% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	35.4	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.1133	BULLISH
Ma Cross	10.03 / 10.53	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		LOWER BAND
Volume	0.7x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	11.70
Bollinger Upper	9.85
SMA(200)	10.53
SMA(50)	10.03
SMA(20)	9.68
Current Price	9.50
Bollinger Lower	9.52
52-Week Low	9.50
ATR(14)	0.13

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION A Confidence

50%

Selling Climax

Acc: 2.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	No Demand	0.32x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest
2026-09-02	Normal	0.7x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	No Supply	0.39x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure
2026-09-06	No Supply	0.39x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure
2026-09-07	Normal	0.7x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	9.66	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	9.78	Base line
Senkou A	9.72	Leading span A
Senkou B	10.20	Leading span B
Cloud	9.72 – 10.20	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	9.50	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	9.95	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE ON 6 bars Momentum: BEARISH

BB: 9.52 – 9.85 | KC: 9.49 – 9.88

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago
Hidden Bearish	RSI	8
Hidden Bearish	MACD	8
Regular Bullish	RSI	10
Hidden Bearish	RSI	12
Hidden Bearish	RSI	16
Regular Bullish	RSI	18

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 10.28 Anchor: 2025-09-10 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -7.6%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

EXHAUSTION Trend exhaustion (3 doji candles) Full data via /api/advanced/4342.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	1.77B
P/E (TTM)	27.14
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	1.09
EPS	0.35

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	-5.8%
Profit Margin	46.1%
ROE	5.2%
Debt/Equity	28.47
Current Ratio	2.85
Dividend Yield	8.3%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.09

Trading Data

9.50

Open

9.50

Day High

9.50

Day Low

495.4K

Volume (1.1x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)