SEDCO Capital REIT Fund

4344.SR · Real Estate · · SAR

7.35 SAR

+0.00 (0.96%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 18:32 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 62

Momentum 51

Fundamental 36

Macro 60

Liquidity 22

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	62.1	30%
Momentum	50.7	15%
Fundamental	36.2	10%
Macro	59.5	20%
Liquidity	21.6	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	7.35
Stop Loss	7.13 (3.0%)
Target 1 (1:1)	7.57 (+3.0%)
Target 2 (2:1)	7.79 (+6.0%)

ATR(14)	0.11 (1.5%)
Risk per Share	0.22
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	82.2	+1.29
Momentum	50.7	+0.03
Quality	53.8	+0.15
Composite	62.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 0.84 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	9.8	18.0	-46% below
P/B Ratio	0.9	1.5	Below
Dividend Yield	7.5%	4.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

15.43

Market Price

7.35

Upside

+109.9%

Margin of Safety	+52.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	789,102,572
Terminal Value PV	2,095,675,441
Total Enterprise Value	2,884,778,013

Assumptions

Base FCF	112,166,666
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

37.97%

Full Kelly

18.99%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 58/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.5%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

48.17

RSI(14)

-0.0519

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↓ FALLING (-0.9% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Real Estate)
RS New High	No (42d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-5.8% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	48.17	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.0519	BULLISH
Ma Cross	7.54 / 7.05	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.27x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	8.15
Bollinger Upper	7.48
SMA(200)	7.05
SMA(50)	7.54
SMA(20)	7.33
Current Price	7.35
Bollinger Lower	7.18
52-Week Low	6.14
ATR(14)	0.11

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	No Supply	0.56x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure
2026-09-02	Normal	1.19x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.18x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	1.18x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	Normal	0.27x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	7.36	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	7.37	Base line
Senkou A	7.36	Leading span A
Senkou B	7.58	Leading span B
Cloud	7.36 – 7.58	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	7.35	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	7.36	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE ON 10 bars Momentum: BEARISH FADING

BB: 7.18 – 7.48 | KC: 7.15 – 7.52

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago
Hidden Bearish	RSI	9
Hidden Bearish	MACD	9
Regular Bullish	RSI	14

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 6.95 Anchor: 2025-12-04 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +5.7%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/4344.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	1.37B
P/E (TTM)	9.80
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	0.94
EPS	0.75

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	69.8%
Profit Margin	47.6%
ROE	9.7%
Debt/Equity	126.80
Current Ratio	1.26
Dividend Yield	7.5%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	N/A

Trading Data

7.35

Open

7.35

Day High

7.35

Day Low

49.3K

Volume (0.3x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)