Alinma Retail REIT Fund
4345.SR · Real Estate · · SARFahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)
43
/ 100
Technical
80
Trend & RS
65
Momentum
54
Fundamental
18
Macro
59
Liquidity
48
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 80.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 64.6 | 10% |
| Momentum | 54.0 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 17.6 | 40% |
| Macro | 59.4 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 47.8 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 4.59 |
| Stop Loss | 4.47 (2.6%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 4.71 (+2.6%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 4.83 (+5.2%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.06 (1.3%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.12 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 64.7 | +0.59 | |
| Momentum | 49.1 | -0.04 | |
| Quality | 16.6 | -1.34 | |
| Composite | 43.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
2
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
0.65
—
Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 0.7 | 1.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 8.1% | 4.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
26.94%
Full Kelly
13.47%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 43/100. Estimated win rate 53%, avg win 7.6%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
36.25
RSI(14)
-0.0156
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
61
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | → FLAT (+1.0% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Real Estate) |
| RS New High | No (34d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -3.9% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 36.25 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.0156 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 4.72 / 4.49 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 1.73x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 5.01 |
| Bollinger Upper | 4.73 |
| SMA(200) | 4.49 |
| SMA(50) | 4.72 |
| SMA(20) | 4.66 |
| Current Price | 4.59 |
| Bollinger Lower | 4.59 |
| 52-Week Low | 4.32 |
| ATR(14) | 0.06 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 0.33x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 1.26x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 0.92x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-06 | Normal | 0.92x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-07 | Normal | 1.73x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 4.65 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 4.71 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 4.68 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 4.72 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 4.68 – 4.72 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 4.59 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 4.84 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
5 bars
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 4.59 – 4.73 | KC: 4.57 – 4.74
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 4.47
Anchor: 2025-12-02 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+2.6%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/4345.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 522.85M |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 0.74 |
| EPS | -0.44 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -28.8% |
| Profit Margin | -58.9% |
| ROE | -6.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 93.43 |
| Current Ratio | 2.01 |
| Dividend Yield | 8.1% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.22 |
Trading Data
4.59
Open
4.59
Day High
4.59
Day Low
371.1K
Volume (1.6x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)