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Bonyan REIT Fund

4347.SR · Real Estate · · SAR
9.68 SAR
+0.00 (0.10%)
● Updated 2026-05-12 11:47 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

60
/ 100
Technical 100
Trend & RS 74
Momentum 57
Fundamental 59
Macro 76
Liquidity 22
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 100.0 10%
Trend & RS 74.2 10%
Momentum 57.3 5%
Fundamental 58.9 40%
Macro 75.8 15%
Liquidity 22.0 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 9.70
Stop Loss 9.54 (1.6%)
Target 1 (1:1) 9.86 (+1.6%)
Target 2 (2:1) 10.02 (+3.3%)
ATR(14) 0.08 (0.8%)
Risk per Share 0.16
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 78.9 +1.16
Momentum 57.3 +0.29
Quality 74.7 +0.99
Composite 70.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 2.00 Grey Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 15.1 18.0 -16% below
P/B Ratio 1.2 1.5 Below
Dividend Yield 8.3% 4.0% Above avg

Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
8.40
vs
Market Price
9.68
Upside
-13.2%
Margin of Safety -15.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)428,278,464
Terminal Value PV940,682,402
Total Enterprise Value1,368,960,866

Assumptions

Base FCF83,395,123
Growth Rate (5yr)13.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
39.18%
Full Kelly
19.59%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 60/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.6%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
64.75
RSI(14)
0.0225
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

60
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs TASI → FLAT (+3.3% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Real Estate)
RS New High No (46d since high)
Sector Outperformance +3.5% (3M)
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 64.75 NEUTRAL
Macd 0.0225 BULLISH
Ma Cross 9.53 / 9.16 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.09x LOW

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High9.81
Bollinger Upper9.71
SMA(200)9.16
SMA(50)9.53
SMA(20)9.56
Current Price9.68
Bollinger Lower9.4
52-Week Low8.88
ATR(14)0.08

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-05-06 Normal 0.23x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07 No Demand 0.34x Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest
2026-05-10 Normal 0.3x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11 Normal 0.51x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12 No Supply 0.09x Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 9.59 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 9.63 Base line
Senkou A 9.61 Leading span A
Senkou B 9.50 Leading span B
Cloud 9.50 – 9.61 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 9.70 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 9.71 Bearish
Alignment Score 2/4 NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH
BB: 9.4 – 9.71  |  KC: 9.44 – 9.68

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bullish RSI 18

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 9.09 Anchor: 2025-05-26 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +6.7%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/4347.SR

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap1.58B
P/E (TTM)15.13
Forward P/EN/A
P/B1.17
EPS0.64

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth13.0%
Profit Margin36.2%
ROE7.7%
Debt/Equity47.55
Current Ratio3.87
Dividend Yield8.3%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.10

Trading Data

9.68
Open
9.68
Day High
9.68
Day Low
13.2K
Volume (0.1x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —