Alinma Hospitality REIT
4349.SR · Real Estate · · SARFahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)
33
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
35
Momentum
31
Fundamental (0%)
25
Macro
57
Liquidity
18
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 35.4 | 20% |
| Momentum | 31.3 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 24.9 | 0% |
| Macro | 57.1 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 18.4 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 6.85 |
| Stop Loss | 6.61 (3.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 7.09 (+3.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 7.33 (+7.0%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.12 (1.8%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.24 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 79.4 | +1.18 | |
| Momentum | 31.3 | -0.75 | |
| Quality | 20.0 | -1.20 | |
| Composite | 43.6 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
1
/9 —
Weak
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
1.93
—
Grey Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 14.3 | 18.0 | -21% below |
| P/B Ratio | N/A | 1.5 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 9.3% | 4.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
18.57%
Full Kelly
9.28%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 33/100. Estimated win rate 50%, avg win 7.0%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
42.09
RSI(14)
-0.1217
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
38
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | → FLAT (-7.7% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Real Estate) |
| RS New High | No (59d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -6.0% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 42.09 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.1217 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 7.2 / 7.7 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.36x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 8.45 |
| Bollinger Upper | 7.07 |
| SMA(200) | 7.7 |
| SMA(50) | 7.2 |
| SMA(20) | 6.88 |
| Current Price | 6.85 |
| Bollinger Lower | 6.7 |
| 52-Week Low | 6.69 |
| ATR(14) | 0.12 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION A
Confidence
50%
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Normal | 0.41x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.46x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.47x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 2.71x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 0.36x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 6.86 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 7.02 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 6.94 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 7.29 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 6.94 – 7.29 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 6.85 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 7.30 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
1 bars
Momentum:
BEARISH FADING
BB: 6.7 – 7.07 | KC: 6.68 – 7.08
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 7 | |
| Regular Bullish | MACD | 7 | |
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 24 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 6.78
Anchor: 2026-10-28 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+1.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 698.71M |
| P/E (TTM) | 14.27 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | N/A |
| EPS | 0.48 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | N/A |
| Profit Margin | N/A |
| ROE | N/A |
| Debt/Equity | N/A |
| Current Ratio | N/A |
| Dividend Yield | 9.3% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | N/A |
Trading Data
6.85
Open
6.85
Day High
6.85
Day Low
114.7K
Volume (0.2x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)