Al Gassim Investment Holding Company

6020.SR · Consumer Defensive · · SAR

12.50 SAR

+0.00 (0.08%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:01 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 36

Momentum 50

Fundamental (0%) 30

Macro 59

Liquidity 34

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	40%
Trend & RS	36.5	20%
Momentum	50.5	20%
Fundamental	30.5	0%
Macro	59.4	15%
Liquidity	34.3	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	12.50
Stop Loss	12.00 (4.0%)
Target 1 (1:1)	13.00 (+4.0%)
Target 2 (2:1)	13.50 (+8.0%)

ATR(14)	0.25 (2.0%)
Risk per Share	0.50
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	52.2	+0.09
Momentum	45.9	-0.16
Quality	50.4	+0.01
Composite	49.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 3 /9 — Weak

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 1.38 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	44.6	18.0	+148% above
P/B Ratio	1.2	2.5	Below

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

2.37

Market Price

12.50

Upside

-81.1%

Margin of Safety	-428.0%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	25,602,205
Terminal Value PV	45,423,467
Total Enterprise Value	71,025,672

Assumptions

Base FCF	6,720,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

31.02%

Full Kelly

15.51%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 48/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.9%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

54.36

RSI(14)

0.0133

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	→ FLAT (+6.0% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High	No (46d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+0.8% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	54.36	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.0133	BULLISH
Ma Cross	12.47 / 13.82	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.54x	HIGH

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	19.55
Bollinger Upper	12.6
SMA(200)	13.82
SMA(50)	12.47
SMA(20)	12.39
Current Price	12.50
Bollinger Lower	12.17
52-Week Low	11.68
ATR(14)	0.25

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

75%

Buying Climax

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 3.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	0.36x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	No Supply	0.58x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure
2026-09-03	No Demand	0.53x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest
2026-09-06	No Demand	0.53x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest
2026-09-07	Normal	1.54x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	12.55	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	12.36	Base line
Senkou A	12.46	Leading span A
Senkou B	13.13	Leading span B
Cloud	12.46 – 13.13	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	12.50	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	12.27	Bullish
Alignment Score	2/4	NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE ON 20 bars Momentum: BULLISH

BB: 12.17 – 12.6 | KC: 12.03 – 12.75

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 12.76 Anchor: 2026-05-17 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -2.1%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/6020.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	375.00M
P/E (TTM)	44.64
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	1.21
EPS	0.28

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	-20.1%
Profit Margin	98.4%
ROE	2.7%
Debt/Equity	N/A
Current Ratio	1.40
Dividend Yield	N/A
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.29

Trading Data

12.50

Open

12.50

Day High

12.50

Day Low

176.5K

Volume (1.1x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)