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Al Moammar Information Systems Company

7200.SR · Technology · · SAR
185.60 SAR
0.00 (-1.28%)
● Updated 2026-05-12 11:46 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Short-term (Swing)

87
/ 100
Technical 100
Trend & RS 95
Momentum 74
Fundamental (0%) 71
Macro 76
Liquidity 30
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 100.0 40%
Trend & RS 95.2 20%
Momentum 74.5 20%
Fundamental 71.1 0%
Macro 75.8 15%
Liquidity 29.9 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 185.80
Stop Loss 173.44 (6.7%)
Target 1 (1:1) 198.16 (+6.7%)
Target 2 (2:1) 210.52 (+13.3%)
ATR(14) 6.18 (3.3%)
Risk per Share 12.36
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 0.0 -2.00
Momentum 74.5 +0.98
Quality 38.9 -0.44
Composite 37.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 4.33 Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 58.0 28.0 +107% above
P/B Ratio 16.1 6.0 Above
Dividend Yield 3.4% 0.8% Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
48.76
vs
Market Price
185.60
Upside
-73.7%
Margin of Safety -280.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)389,268,208
Terminal Value PV1,073,672,396
Total Enterprise Value1,462,940,604

Assumptions

Base FCF76,800,000
Growth Rate (5yr)10.5%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
55.18%
Full Kelly
27.59%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 87/100. Estimated win rate 66%, avg win 10.2%, avg loss 3.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
63.78
RSI(14)
4.6819
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

87
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil PASS (≥80)
RS vs TASI ↑ RISING (+7.7% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector INLINE (Technology)
RS New High Near 3-month high 1d since high
Sector Outperformance +0.0% (3M)
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 63.78 NEUTRAL
Macd 4.6819 BULLISH
Ma Cross 166.64 / 153.65 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.43x LOW

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High199.70
Bollinger Upper188.32
SMA(200)153.65
SMA(50)166.64
SMA(20)178.03
Current Price185.60
Bollinger Lower167.74
52-Week Low125.00
ATR(14)6.18

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence
55%
Sign of Strength Buying Climax
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 3.0  |  Markup: 1.5  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-05-06 Normal 2.5x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07 Normal 3.15x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-10 Upthrust 3.63x High volume up-bar closing near low — failed breakout (Upthrust)
2026-05-11 Normal 0.94x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12 No Demand 0.43x Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 177.95 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 177.95 Base line
Senkou A 177.95 Leading span A
Senkou B 169.25 Leading span B
Cloud 169.25 – 177.95 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 185.80 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 162.10 Bullish
Alignment Score 3/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 167.74 – 188.32  |  KC: 169.39 – 186.67

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bearish RSI 10
Regular Bearish MACD 10

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 157.26 Anchor: 2025-06-19 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +18.1%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/7200.SR

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap5.57B
P/E (TTM)58.00
Forward P/EN/A
P/B16.10
EPS3.20

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth10.5%
Profit Margin7.6%
ROE25.1%
Debt/Equity247.07
Current Ratio0.90
Dividend Yield3.4%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.30

Trading Data

185.60
Open
185.60
Day High
185.60
Day Low
30.5K
Volume (0.4x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —