Mutakamela Insurance Company
8040.SR · Financial Services · · SARFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
71
/ 100
Technical
60
Trend & RS
79
Momentum
100
Fundamental
56
Macro
55
Liquidity
69
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 60.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 79.1 | 30% |
| Momentum | 100.0 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 10% |
| Macro | 55.1 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 68.9 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 13.10 |
| Stop Loss | 11.74 (10.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 14.46 (+10.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 15.82 (+20.8%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.68 (5.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.36 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 46.9 | -0.12 | |
| Momentum | 92.0 | +1.68 | |
| Quality | 11.6 | -1.53 | |
| Composite | 50.2 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
1
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
35.93
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 1.1 | 2.5 | Below |
Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.8%
Recommended Size
46.22%
Full Kelly
23.11%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 71/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.2%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%
Signal Summary BUY
3
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
74.44
RSI(14)
1.1376
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
72
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | ↑ RISING (+43.9% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Financial Services) |
| RS New High | No (2d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +38.4% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 74.44 | OVERBOUGHT |
| Macd | 1.1376 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 9.57 / 10.83 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.55x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 17.00 |
| Bollinger Upper | 14.45 |
| SMA(200) | 10.83 |
| SMA(50) | 9.57 |
| SMA(20) | 10.76 |
| Current Price | 13.10 |
| Bollinger Lower | 7.07 |
| 52-Week Low | 8.20 |
| ATR(14) | 0.68 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION A
Confidence
69%
Upthrust (potential)
Buying Climax
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 4.5 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Normal | 0.59x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-06 | Normal | 1.88x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-07 | Normal | 1.01x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-08 | Normal | 1.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-09 | Normal | 1.55x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 11.77 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 11.20 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 11.48 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 11.11 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 11.11 – 11.48 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 13.10 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 8.83 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 7.07 – 14.45 | KC: 9.74 – 11.79
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bullish | MACD | 15 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 10.99
Anchor: 2026-03-02 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+19.1%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/8040.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 779.30M |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.09 |
| EPS | -0.15 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 5.0% |
| Profit Margin | -1.7% |
| ROE | -1.2% |
| Debt/Equity | 1.83 |
| Current Ratio | 0.52 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.09 |
Trading Data
13.10
Open
13.10
Day High
13.10
Day Low
1.02M
Volume (3.7x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)