Saudi Arabian Cooperative Insurance Company
8100.SR · Financial Services · · SARFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
46
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
52
Momentum
53
Fundamental
56
Macro
55
Liquidity
19
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 52.1 | 30% |
| Momentum | 53.3 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 10% |
| Macro | 55.1 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 18.9 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 10.39 |
| Stop Loss | 9.61 (7.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 11.17 (+7.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 11.95 (+15.0%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.39 (3.8%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.78 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 88.1 | +1.52 | |
| Momentum | 53.3 | +0.13 | |
| Quality | 51.8 | +0.07 | |
| Composite | 64.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 14.6 | 18.0 | -19% below |
| P/B Ratio | 0.7 | 2.5 | Below |
Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
14.61
vs
Market Price
10.39
Upside
+40.6%
| Margin of Safety | +28.9% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 119,877,930 |
| Terminal Value PV | 318,368,287 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 438,246,217 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 17,040,000 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 12.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.8%
Recommended Size
29.66%
Full Kelly
14.83%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 46/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.8%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
52.5
RSI(14)
0.2136
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
30
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | ↑ RISING (+19.9% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Financial Services) |
| RS New High | No (5d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +14.4% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 52.5 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.2136 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 9.92 / 11.04 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.44x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 15.60 |
| Bollinger Upper | 11.0 |
| SMA(200) | 11.04 |
| SMA(50) | 9.92 |
| SMA(20) | 10.44 |
| Current Price | 10.39 |
| Bollinger Lower | 9.87 |
| 52-Week Low | 8.37 |
| ATR(14) | 0.39 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Normal | 1.43x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-06 | Normal | 0.92x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-07 | Normal | 0.53x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-08 | Normal | 0.94x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-09 | Normal | 0.44x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 10.64 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 10.14 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 10.39 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 9.95 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 9.95 – 10.39 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 10.39 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 9.90 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
1 bars
Momentum:
BEARISH FADING
BB: 9.87 – 11.0 | KC: 9.85 – 11.02
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | MACD | 6 | |
| Hidden Bullish | MACD | 15 | |
| Hidden Bullish | RSI | 24 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 9.72
Anchor: 2026-03-31 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+6.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/8100.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 311.70M |
| P/E (TTM) | 14.63 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 0.73 |
| EPS | 0.71 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 49.5% |
| Profit Margin | 2.5% |
| ROE | 5.1% |
| Debt/Equity | N/A |
| Current Ratio | 5.92 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.18 |
Trading Data
10.39
Open
10.39
Day High
10.39
Day Low
152.6K
Volume (0.5x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)