Saudi Arabian Cooperative Insurance Company

8100.SR · Financial Services · · SAR

10.39 SAR

+0.00 (0.39%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 18:33 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 52

Momentum 53

Fundamental (0%) 62

Macro 54

Liquidity 19

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	40%
Trend & RS	51.7	20%
Momentum	53.3	20%
Fundamental	61.7	0%
Macro	54.2	15%
Liquidity	18.9	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	10.39
Stop Loss	9.61 (7.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	11.17 (+7.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	11.95 (+15.0%)

ATR(14)	0.39 (3.8%)
Risk per Share	0.78
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	88.1	+1.52
Momentum	53.3	+0.13
Quality	51.8	+0.07
Composite	64.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 3.39 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	14.6	18.0	-19% below
P/B Ratio	0.7	2.5	Below

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

14.61

Market Price

10.39

Upside

+40.6%

Margin of Safety	+28.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	119,877,930
Terminal Value PV	318,368,287
Total Enterprise Value	438,246,217

Assumptions

Base FCF	17,040,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

24.84%

Full Kelly

12.42%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 40/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.4%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

52.5

RSI(14)

0.2136

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↑ RISING (+19.9% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Financial Services)
RS New High	No (5d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+14.4% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	52.5	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.2136	BEARISH
Ma Cross	9.92 / 11.04	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.44x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	15.60
Bollinger Upper	11.0
SMA(200)	11.04
SMA(50)	9.92
SMA(20)	10.44
Current Price	10.39
Bollinger Lower	9.87
52-Week Low	8.37
ATR(14)	0.39

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-05	Normal	1.43x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-06	Normal	0.92x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.53x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.94x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.44x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	10.64	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	10.14	Base line
Senkou A	10.39	Leading span A
Senkou B	9.95	Leading span B
Cloud	9.95 – 10.39	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	10.39	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	9.90	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE ON 1 bars Momentum: BEARISH FADING

BB: 9.87 – 11.0 | KC: 9.85 – 11.02

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago
Regular Bearish	MACD	6
Hidden Bullish	MACD	15
Hidden Bullish	RSI	24

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 9.72 Anchor: 2026-03-31 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +6.9%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/8100.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	311.70M
P/E (TTM)	14.63
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	0.73
EPS	0.71

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	49.5%
Profit Margin	2.5%
ROE	5.1%
Debt/Equity	N/A
Current Ratio	5.92
Dividend Yield	N/A
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.18

Trading Data

10.39

Open

10.39

Day High

10.39

Day Low

152.6K

Volume (0.5x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)