Saudi Reinsurance Company
8200.SR · Financial Services · · SARFahodi Score STRONG SELL Mid-term (Position)
35
/ 100
Technical
0
Trend & RS
24
Momentum
47
Fundamental
67
Macro
60
Liquidity
37
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 0.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 24.3 | 30% |
| Momentum | 47.3 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 10% |
| Macro | 59.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 36.8 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 25.08 |
| Stop Loss | 23.78 (5.2%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 26.38 (+5.2%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 27.68 (+10.4%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.65 (2.6%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.30 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 77.1 | +1.08 | |
| Momentum | 47.3 | -0.11 | |
| Quality | 29.7 | -0.81 | |
| Composite | 51.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 19.6 | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 1.8 | 2.5 | Below |
Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
34.16
vs
Market Price
25.08
Upside
+36.2%
| Margin of Safety | +26.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 1,277,661,643 |
| Terminal Value PV | 4,436,812,837 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 5,714,474,480 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 171,325,445 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 10.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
20.35%
Full Kelly
10.17%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 35/100. Estimated win rate 50%, avg win 7.1%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
45.53
RSI(14)
0.1309
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
23
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | ↓ FALLING (-3.8% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Financial Services) |
| RS New High | No (9d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -9.8% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 45.53 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.1309 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 25.51 / 26.33 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.51x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 36.62 |
| Bollinger Upper | 27.65 |
| SMA(200) | 26.33 |
| SMA(50) | 25.51 |
| SMA(20) | 25.4 |
| Current Price | 25.08 |
| Bollinger Lower | 23.15 |
| 52-Week Low | 21.10 |
| ATR(14) | 0.65 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION A
Confidence
100%
Buying Climax
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 0.65x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 0.79x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 0.63x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-06 | Normal | 0.63x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-07 | No Demand | 0.51x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 26.28 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 25.98 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 26.13 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 25.84 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 25.84 – 26.13 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 25.08 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 25.12 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 2/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 23.15 – 27.65 | KC: 24.46 – 26.34
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 18 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 25.82
Anchor: 2026-03-01 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-2.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/8200.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 4.20B |
| P/E (TTM) | 19.59 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.78 |
| EPS | 1.28 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 72.2% |
| Profit Margin | 9.3% |
| ROE | 9.5% |
| Debt/Equity | 2.41 |
| Current Ratio | 0.90 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.09 |
Trading Data
25.08
Open
25.08
Day High
25.08
Day Low
498.7K
Volume (0.8x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)