Chubb Arabia Cooperative Insurance Company

8240.SR · Financial Services · · SAR

18.75 SAR

+0.00 (0.70%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:00 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 34

Momentum 57

Fundamental (0%) 83

Macro 59

Liquidity 25

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	40%
Trend & RS	34.0	20%
Momentum	57.4	20%
Fundamental	83.3	0%
Macro	59.4	15%
Liquidity	25.2	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	18.75
Stop Loss	17.87 (4.7%)
Target 1 (1:1)	19.63 (+4.7%)
Target 2 (2:1)	20.51 (+9.4%)

ATR(14)	0.44 (2.4%)
Risk per Share	0.88
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	29.6	-0.82
Momentum	57.4	+0.30
Quality	49.8	-0.01
Composite	45.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 270.64 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	69.4	18.0	+286% above
P/B Ratio	1.6	2.5	Below

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

2.40

Market Price

18.75

Upside

-87.2%

Margin of Safety	-681.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	34,023,005
Terminal Value PV	61,918,776
Total Enterprise Value	95,941,781

Assumptions

Base FCF	8,640,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	3.2%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

31.32%

Full Kelly

15.66%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 48/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 7.9%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

59.1

RSI(14)

0.1962

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	→ FLAT (+2.5% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Financial Services)
RS New High	No (60d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-3.6% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	59.1	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.1962	BULLISH
Ma Cross	18.14 / 19.56	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.92x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	33.20
Bollinger Upper	19.01
SMA(200)	19.56
SMA(50)	18.14
SMA(20)	18.4
Current Price	18.75
Bollinger Lower	17.79
52-Week Low	15.70
ATR(14)	0.44

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	0.57x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.62x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.86x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	0.86x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	Normal	0.92x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	18.78	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	18.01	Base line
Senkou A	18.39	Leading span A
Senkou B	18.23	Leading span B
Cloud	18.23 – 18.39	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	18.75	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	17.04	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE ON 5 bars Momentum: BULLISH FADING

BB: 17.79 – 19.01 | KC: 17.79 – 19.01

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Hidden Bullish	MACD	4
Regular Bearish	MACD	8

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 18.34 Anchor: 2026-03-01 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +2.3%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/8240.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	750.00M
P/E (TTM)	69.44
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	1.56
EPS	0.27

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	3.2%
Profit Margin	2.5%
ROE	2.2%
Debt/Equity	0.35
Current Ratio	11.54
Dividend Yield	N/A
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.61

Trading Data

18.75

Open

18.75

Day High

18.75

Day Low

184.3K

Volume (0.6x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)